Extended TODIM‐PROMETHEE II method with hesitant probabilistic information for solving potential risk evaluation problems of water resource carrying capacity

• Published in: Expert systems Vol. 38; no. 4
• Main Authors: Wang, Xiao‐kang, Zhang, Hong‐yu, Wang, Jian‐qiang, Li, Jun‐bo, Li, Lin
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Oxford Blackwell Publishing Ltd 01.06.2021
• Subjects: Carrying capacity; Decision analysis; Decision making; Decision support systems; distance measure; Fuzzy sets; hesitant probabilistic fuzzy set; multi‐criteria group decision‐making; Risk assessment; Sensitivity analysis; Sustainable development; TODIM‐PROMETHEE II method; Water resources
• ISSN: 0266-4720; 1468-0394
• DOI: 10.1111/exsy.12681

With the excessive consumption and pollution of water resources, the sustainable development of water resources poses a serious threat currently. How to perceive and prevent the degradation of water resource in advance is an urgent problem. The water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) is a significant indicator to reflect the condition of water resources in a region. Resounding to these circumstances, our research establishes a decision support framework to solve WRCC risk evaluation issues. First, hesitant probabilistic fuzzy sets (HPFSs) are selected as a representation for the evaluation information in the expert group. Aimed at existing studies of HPFSs, some limitations are overcome involving the distance and comparison rule. Secondly, a TODIM‐PROMETHEE II based multi‐criteria group decision making (MCGDM) method is developed to overcome the inherent restrictions of PROMETHEE II method and make it suitable for a practical decision‐making condition with bounded rationality. Subsequently, a case study is utilized to demonstrate the feasibility of our newly proposed decision support framework, followed by a sensitivity analysis and a comparison analysis. The outcome indicates that the framework has an excellent performance to solve this kind of MCGDM issues.