Lithium-ion batteries remaining useful life prediction based on a mixture of empirical mode decomposition and ARIMA model

• Published in: Microelectronics and reliability Vol. 65; pp. 265 - 273
• Main Authors: Zhou, Yapeng, Huang, Miaohua
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier Ltd 01.10.2016
• Subjects: ARIMA; Empirical mode decomposition; Lithium-ion battery; Prediction; Remaining useful life; Lithium-ion battery; Empirical mode decomposition; Remaining useful life; ARIMA; Prediction
• ISSN: 0026-2714; 1872-941X
• DOI: 10.1016/j.microrel.2016.07.151

Prediction of lithium-ion batteries remaining useful life (RUL) plays an important role in battery management system (BMS) used in electric vehicles. A novel approach which combines empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is proposed for RUL prognostic in this paper. At first, EMD is utilized to decouple global deterioration trend and capacity regeneration from state-of-health (SOH) time series, which are then used in ARIMA model to predict the global deterioration trend and capacity regeneration, respectively. Next, all the separate prediction results are added up to obtain a comprehensive SOH prediction from which the RUL is acquired. The proposed method is validated through lithium-ion batteries aging test data. By comparison with relevance vector machine, monotonic echo sate networks and ARIMA methods, EMD-ARIMA approach gives a more satisfying and accurate prediction result. •SOH series is decomposed into global deterioration and capacity regeneration.•Capacity regeneration is considered for RUL prediction.•EMD-ARIMA outperforms three other prognostic methods.•EMD-ARIMA method for RUL prognostic is accurate and effective.