A Novel Event Detection Model for Water Distribution Systems Based on Data-Driven Estimation and Support Vector Machine Classification

• Published in: Water resources management Vol. 33; no. 13; pp. 4569 - 4581
• Main Authors: Zou, Xiang-Yun, Lin, Yi-Li, Xu, Bin, Guo, Zi-Bo, Xia, Sheng-Ji, Zhang, Tian-Yang, Wang, An-Qi, Gao, Nai-Yun
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Dordrecht Springer Netherlands 01.10.2019; Springer Nature B.V
• Subjects: Artificial neural networks; Atmospheric Sciences; Bayesian analysis; Bayesian theory; Civil Engineering; Classification; Computer simulation; Data; Detection; Distribution; Earth and Environmental Science; Earth Sciences; Environment; Genetic algorithms; Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences; Hydrogeology; Hydrology/Water Resources; Mathematical models; Neural networks; Organic chemistry; Outliers (statistics); Parameters; prediction; probability; Probability theory; sequence analysis; Support vector machines; Water distribution; Water distribution systems; Water engineering; Water quality; Support vector machine (SVM); Event detection; Data-driven model; Artificial neural networks (ANNs); Water distribution systems (WDS)
• ISSN: 0920-4741; 1573-1650
• DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02317-5

In this study, a novel event detection model based on data-driven estimation and support vector machine (SVM) classification was developed and assessed. The developed model takes advantage of the data-driven model - namely artificial neural networks (ANNs) - to predict the complicated behavior of water quality parameters without relevant physical and chemical knowledge. In addition, SVM presents high classification performance when dealing with high-dimensional data and has a better generalization ability than ANNs so that SVM can complement ANN predictions. Key parameters of SVM were optimized by genetic algorithm. After calculation of ANN prediction error and outlier classification by SVM, the event probability was estimated by Bayesian sequence analysis. The performance of the proposed model was evaluated using data from a real water distribution system with randomly simulated events. The results illustrated that the proposed model exhibited a great detection ability compared with two models with analogous structures, a pure SVM classification model and a conventional ANN-threshold classification model, demonstrating the superiority of the hybrid data-driven – SVM classification model.