Modeling the Effects of an Urban Growth Boundary on Vehicle Travel in a Small Metropolitan Area

An integrated land-use–transportation model was used to simulate the impact that an urban growth boundary would have on vehicle miles of travel in a small metropolitan community over a forty-year modeling horizon. The results of the modeling effort indicate that even in an area with low to moderate...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inEnvironment and planning. B, Planning & design. Vol. 40; no. 5; pp. 846 - 864
Main Authors Azaria, Dale Ellen, Troy, Austin, Lee, Brian H Y, Ventriss, Curtis, Voigt, Brian
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London, England SAGE Publications 01.01.2013
Subjects
Boundaries
Computer simulation
Geographic distribution
Land use
Metropolitan areas
Modelling
Population growth
Road transport
Travel
Urban development
Urban growth
Urban transport
Vehicles
Villages
Walking
urban growth boundary
integrated land-use–transportation model
vehicle miles of travel
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Summary:An integrated land-use–transportation model was used to simulate the impact that an urban growth boundary would have on vehicle miles of travel in a small metropolitan community over a forty-year modeling horizon. The results of the modeling effort indicate that even in an area with low to moderate population growth, there is the potential to reduce vehicle miles of travel per person by as much as 25% from a business-as-usual scenario over a forty-year period. The reduction would result primarily from a shift of driving alone to carpooling or walking for many trips. A scenario in which growth is concentrated in a single urban core would also benefit from shorter average trip lengths; a scenario with multiple village centers would not have shorter trip lengths, but would still have significant improvements in total vehicle miles of travel.
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ISSN:0265-8135
1472-3417
DOI:10.1068/b38182