Generation Expansion Planning of Stand-Alone Micro-Power Systems under Uncertainty Using Advanced Planning Methodology

• Published in: Energy exploration & exploitation Vol. 26; no. 4; pp. 221 - 239
• Main Authors: Khodayar, M. E., Rahimi-Kian, A., Ehsan, M.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: London, England SAGE Publications 01.08.2008; Multi-Science
• Subjects: Applied sciences; Economic data; Electric energy; Energy; Energy economics; Exact sciences and technology; General, economic and professional studies; Methodology. Modelling; Natural energy; Renewable energy; Iran; Asia; Generation Expansion Planning (GEP); Uncertainty; Multi Attribute Decision Making (MADM); Micro-power systems; Distributed Generation (DG); Methodology; Decision making; Analytic hierarchy process; Strategic planning; Risk analysis; Case study; On site energy production; Optimal strategy; Renewable energy; Decentralized system; Technicoeconomic study; Production capacity; Electric power production; Data envelopment analysis
• ISSN: 0144-5987; 2048-4054
• DOI: 10.1260/014459808787548723

In this paper a strategic planning framework for selecting the best configuration and capacity of different power generating technologies including renewable energy resources in stand-alone micro-power systems is proposed. The proposed framework is composed of three decision making techniques to identify the most feasible and efficient plans according to attributes and uncertain parameters in the planning environment. The framework considers the robustness and risk analysis of different plans exposed to uncertainties in the planning environment and selects the configurations that meet the objectives with the least risk exposure. The proposed methodology is implemented as a case study of a stand-alone micro-power system for a small region in Iran.