The effect of the Spanish Law of Political Parties (LPP) on the attitude of the Basque Country population towards ETA: A dynamic modelling approach

In June 2002, the Spanish Government passed the “Law of Political Parties” (LPP) with the aim, among others, of preventing parties giving political support to terrorist organizations. This law affected the Basque nationalist party “Batasuna”, due to its proved relation with ETA. In this paper, takin...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inMathematical and computer modelling Vol. 57; no. 7-8; pp. 1679 - 1685
Main Authors Peco, Miguel, Santonja, Francisco-J., Tarazona, Ana-C., Villanueva, Rafael-J., Villanueva-Oller, Javier
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier Ltd 01.04.2013
Subjects
Attitude dynamics
Bootstrapping
Law effect
Law of Political Parties
Modelling
Bootstrapping
Modelling
Law of Political Parties
Law effect
Attitude dynamics
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Summary:In June 2002, the Spanish Government passed the “Law of Political Parties” (LPP) with the aim, among others, of preventing parties giving political support to terrorist organizations. This law affected the Basque nationalist party “Batasuna”, due to its proved relation with ETA. In this paper, taking data from the Euskobarometro (Basque Country survey) related to the attitude of the Basque population towards ETA, we propose a dynamic model for the pre-LPP scenario. This model will be extrapolated to the future in order to predict what would have happened to the attitude of the Basque population if the law had not been passed. These model predictions will be compared to post-LPP data from the Euskobarometro using a bootstrapping approach in order to quantify the effect of the LPP on the attitude of Basque Country population towards ETA.
ISSN:0895-7177
1872-9479
DOI:10.1016/j.mcm.2011.11.007