Predicting the North: sovereignty and the Canadian brand in the Arctic

Uncertainty sums up the Arctic of today, with significant implications for sovereignty and branding Canada. Climate change produces a level of interest in the North from a widening range of actors and confronts Canada with new challenges. The present study uses an expected utility forecasting model...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published inCanadian foreign policy journal Vol. 24; no. 2; pp. 182 - 201
Main Authors Paradis, Mark, Parker, Richard D., James, Patrick
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Routledge 04.05.2018
Taylor & Francis Ltd
Subjects
Arctic
Brands
Canada
Climate change
Forecasting
Foreign policy
Search and rescue
Sovereignty
Studies
Transportation
Uncertainty
Canada
Arctic region
Online AccessGet full text

Cover

More Information
Summary:Uncertainty sums up the Arctic of today, with significant implications for sovereignty and branding Canada. Climate change produces a level of interest in the North from a widening range of actors and confronts Canada with new challenges. The present study uses an expected utility forecasting model to assess the likely outcomes, under current conditions, across a range of substantively important issues in the Arctic. After an overview of the Arctic as an essential aspect of the Canadian brand, the work unfolds in four further stages. First, a forecasting model is introduced and linked to the present context. The second stage presents the expert-generated data used to forecast the future. Third, forecasts are produced and assessed in terms of implications for existing policy in areas ranging from search and rescue to transit of the Northwest Passage (NWP). The fourth and final stage offers conclusions about the Canadian brand in relation to the Arctic and suggests directions for future research.
Bibliography:ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
content type line 14
ISSN:1192-6422
2157-0817
DOI:10.1080/11926422.2018.1464485