Distributionally robust optimization for sequential decision-making

• Published in: Optimization Vol. 68; no. 12; pp. 2397 - 2426
• Main Authors: Chen, Zhi, Yu, Pengqian, Haskell, William B.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Philadelphia Taylor & Francis 02.12.2019; Taylor & Francis LLC
• Subjects: Ambiguity; ambiguity set; Convexity; Decision making; distributionally robust optimization; Format; Markov analysis; Markov decision process; Markov processes; Optimization; Parameter uncertainty; Robustness
• ISSN: 0233-1934; 1029-4945
• DOI: 10.1080/02331934.2019.1655738

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust strategy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we study distributionally robust MDPs where ambiguity sets for the uncertain parameters are of a format that can easily incorporate in its description the generalized moment as well as statistical distance information of the uncertainty. In this way, we generalize existing works on distributionally robust MDPs with generalized-moment-based and statistical-distance-based ambiguity sets to incorporate information from the former class such as moments and dispersions to the latter class that critically depends on empirical observations of the uncertain parameters. We show that under this format of ambiguity sets, the resulting distributionally robust MDP remains tractable under mild technical conditions and a distributionally robust strategy can be constructed by solving a sequence of one-stage convex optimization subproblems through a Bellman type backward induction.