Information ratio test for model misspecification on parametric structures in stochastic diffusion models

• Published in: Computational statistics & data analysis Vol. 56; no. 12; pp. 3975 - 3987
• Main Authors: Zhang, Shulin, Song, Peter X.-K., Shi, Daimin, Zhou, Qian M.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier B.V 01.12.2012
• Subjects: Bartlett identity; Computational efficiency; Data processing; Diffusion; Drift; Error analysis; Godambe information; Information unbiasedness; Martingale estimating functions; Mathematical analysis; Mathematical models; Statistics; Stochasticity; Volatility; Information unbiasedness; Drift; Bartlett identity; Godambe information; Volatility; Martingale estimating functions
• ISSN: 0167-9473; 1872-7352
• DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2012.05.013

We develop a hypothesis testing approach to checking model misspecification on parametric structures in continuous-time stochastic diffusion models. The key idea behind the development of our test statistic is rooted in a ratio of two types of information matrices, the negative sensitivity matrix and the variability matrix, in the context of martingale estimating equations. We propose a bootstrap resampling method to implement numerically the proposed diagnostic procedure. Through intensive simulation studies, we compare the proposed approach with several currently popular methods and show that our approach is advantageous in the aspects of type I error control, power improvement as well as computational efficiency. Two real-world data examples are included to illustrate the practical use of our proposed testing procedure.