Popularity Functions for the Portuguese Prime Minister, Government, Parliament and President

. The purpose of this paper is to estimate popularity functions for the Portuguese Prime Minister, Government, Parliament and President using the ordinary least squares (OLS) and seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) methods. The results indicate that: (1) popularity polls for the Prime Minister and...

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Published inEuropean journal of political research Vol. 33; no. 3; pp. 347 - 361
Main Author VEIGA, LINDA ROSA FONSECA GONÇALVES
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Oxford, UK Blackwell Publishing Ltd 01.04.1998
Subjects
Economic conditions
Europe
Government
Heads of government
Least squares method
Parliament
PARLIAMENT (ALL NATIONS)
Political leadership
Political systems
POLLS (ALL TYPES)
Popularity
PORTUGAL
Presidency
PRESIDENCY (ALL NATIONS)
PRIME MINISTER
PUBLIC OPINION
Unemployment
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Summary:. The purpose of this paper is to estimate popularity functions for the Portuguese Prime Minister, Government, Parliament and President using the ordinary least squares (OLS) and seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) methods. The results indicate that: (1) popularity polls for the Prime Minister and Government are better explained by economic conditions than are similar polls for the Parliament and President; (2) unemployment is a significant variable determining popularity while inflation is not; (3) honeymoon effects are significant; (4) popularity deteriorates over consecutive terms.
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ISSN:0304-4130
1475-6765
DOI:10.1111/1475-6765.00386