Towards data‐driven stochastic predictive control

• Published in: International journal of robust and nonlinear control Vol. 35; no. 7; pp. 2588 - 2610
• Main Authors: Pan, Guanru, Ou, Ruchuan, Faulwasser, Timm
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Bognor Regis Wiley Subscription Services, Inc 10.05.2025
• Subjects: closed‐loop properties; Control data (computers); Control systems; data‐driven system representation; Disturbances; Noise measurement; Optimal control; polynomial chaos expansion; Polynomials; Predictive control; stochastic model predictive control; Stochastic processes
• ISSN: 1049-8923; 1099-1239
• DOI: 10.1002/rnc.6812

Summary Data‐driven predictive control based on the fundamental lemma by Willems et al. is frequently considered for deterministic LTI systems subject to measurement noise. However, little has been done on data‐driven stochastic control. In this paper, we propose a data‐driven stochastic predictive control scheme for LTI systems subject to possibly unbounded additive process disturbances. Based on a stochastic extension of the fundamental lemma and leveraging polynomial chaos expansions, we construct a data‐driven surrogate optimal control problem (OCP). Moreover, combined with an online selection strategy of the initial condition of the OCP, we provide sufficient conditions for recursive feasibility and for stability of the proposed data‐driven predictive control scheme. Finally, two numerical examples illustrate the efficacy and closed‐loop properties of the proposed scheme for process disturbances governed by different distributions.