France’s militarized interstate disputes: diversion from domestic problems?
A large body of research investigates whether democracies’ decisions to intervene militarily are guided by external threats and strategic considerations or whether domestic factors play the predominant role. Foreign military intervention can create a “rally-round-the-flag” effect and might be used t...
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| Published in | French politics Vol. 22; no. 4; pp. 321 - 348 |
|---|---|
| Main Author | |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
London
Palgrave Macmillan UK
01.12.2024
Palgrave Macmillan |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 1476-3419 1476-3427 |
| DOI | 10.1057/s41253-024-00249-0 |
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| Abstract | A large body of research investigates whether democracies’ decisions to intervene militarily are guided by external threats and strategic considerations or whether domestic factors play the predominant role. Foreign military intervention can create a “rally-round-the-flag” effect and might be used to divert attention away from domestic problems. A reassessment of diversionary theory for France, as one of the most militarily active European powers, which has hardly been subject to rigorous empirical research so far, is not supportive of the theory’s theses. There is only weak support that France is more likely to intervene in months with low presidential popularity and no evidence of a systematic rally effect after France gets involved in military disputes. With few exceptions, presidential approval ratings do not improve. |
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| AbstractList | A large body of research investigates whether democracies’ decisions to intervene militarily are guided by external threats and strategic considerations or whether domestic factors play the predominant role. Foreign military intervention can create a “rally-round-the-flag” effect and might be used to divert attention away from domestic problems. A reassessment of diversionary theory for France, as one of the most militarily active European powers, which has hardly been subject to rigorous empirical research so far, is not supportive of the theory’s theses. There is only weak support that France is more likely to intervene in months with low presidential popularity and no evidence of a systematic rally effect after France gets involved in military disputes. With few exceptions, presidential approval ratings do not improve. |
| Author | Bussmann, Margit |
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| Keywords | Rally effect Military disputes France Presidential popularity Diversionary theory Foreign policy |
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| References_xml | – reference: BruléDJHwangWDiverting the legislature: Executive–legislative relations, the economy, and US uses of forceInternational Studies Quarterly20105436137910.1111/j.1468-2478.2010.00591.x – reference: JonesDaniel MBremerStuart ADavid SingerJMilitarized interstate disputes, 1816–1992: Rationale, coding rules, and empirical Patterns’Conflict Management and Peace Science19961516321310.1177/073889429601500203 – reference: FosterDennis MInter arma silent leges? Democracy, domestic terrorism, and diversionJournal of Conflict Resolution2017611371140010.1177/0022002715613842 – reference: LianBradleyOnealJohn RPresidents, the use of military force, and public opinionJournal of Conflict Resolution19933727730010.1177/0022002793037002003 – reference: ClarkDHAgreeing to disagree: Domestic institutional congruence and U.S. dispute behaviorPolitical Research Quarterly200053375400 – reference: Box-SteffensmeierJanet MSmithRenee MInvestigating political dynamics using fractional integration methodsAmerican Journal of Political Science19984266168910.2307/2991774 – reference: PalmerGlennMcManusRoseanne WD’OrazioVitoKenwickMichael RKarstensMikaelaBlochChaseDietrichNickKahnKaylaRitterKellanSoulesMichael JThe MID5 dataset, 2011–2014: Procedures, coding rules, and descriptionConflict Management and Peace Science20203947048210.1177/0738894221995743 – reference: OnealJohn RLianBradJoynerJames HAre the American people “pretty prudent”? 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| SubjectTerms | Armed forces Comparative Politics Decision making Democracy Disputes European Politics Exceptions Foreign policy Military intervention Original Article Patriotism Political leadership Political Science Political Science and International Relations Political Science and International Studies Popularity Presidential approval Presidents Public opinion Ratings & rankings Research methodology Sociology |
| Title | France’s militarized interstate disputes: diversion from domestic problems? |
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