Using social media for flight path safety assessment

• Published in: Aircraft engineering Vol. 93; no. 10; pp. 1664 - 1673
• Main Authors: Abin, Ahmad Ali, Nabavi, Shahabedin, Ebrahimi Moghaddam, Mohsen
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Bradford Emerald Publishing Limited 30.11.2021; Emerald Group Publishing Limited
• Subjects: Air defense; Air travel; Aircraft accidents & safety; Airlines; Artificial intelligence; Aviation; Case studies; Commercial aircraft; Defense; Digital media; Emergency preparedness; Estimation; Flight paths; Flight planning; Hazard mitigation; Human error; Information retrieval; Machine learning; Missiles; News; Passenger aircraft; Passengers; Path planning; Risk assessment; Safety; Social networks; Statistical analysis; Statistical methods; Statistical models; Iran; United States > US; Air defense system; Passenger aircraft; Artificial intelligence (AI); Flight path safety; Flight 752
• ISSN: 1748-8842; 1758-4213
• DOI: 10.1108/AEAT-10-2020-0238

Purpose Artificial intelligence (AI)-based systems can save the lives of many people by assessing the safety of flight paths. Unfortunately, the world witnessed a horrible event in January 2020 with the case of flight 752 of Ukrainian International Airlines from Tehran to Kiev and it has prompted us to ask how AI can prevent such events by warning to flight path planners. This paper aims to propose a framework for assessing the safety of flight paths from a shooting of an airplane by air defense systems installed on the path. Unlike the existing studies, this study takes a new look at pre-flight risk assessment by using textual information in social and news networks. To this end, the authors use existing information retrieval techniques to identify high flight risk areas by examining the news articles, comments, posts, tweets, etc., in social media and then estimate the probability of targeting a passenger aircraft by the air defense systems probably installed on high-risk areas with the help of a statistical model. This estimation can then be used by fight planners to avoid such events. Design/methodology/approach To design a framework for estimating the probability of a fatal shooting of an airplane by air defense systems installed on its flight path, the authors have used the idea of information retrieval in conjunction with statistical methods. The authors have extracted some significant variables in the shooting of flights and proposed an AI-based framework to estimate the probability of a fatal shooting of an airplane during its flight and sketched a case study for using machine learning approaches to assist with flight path planning. As a case study, the authors covered flight 752 to explain the usefulness of the proposed framework in this context. Findings Unlike the existing methods, this study investigates flight path safety assessment from the social media and crowdsourcing perspective. In this study, the authors proposed an AI-based framework to avoid aviation hazards by estimating the probability of a shooting of an airplane by air defense systems installed on its flight path. Moreover, this study was designed to show how estimating the safety of flight paths by using AI-based methods can help flight planners to avoid such events and gain further insights into the use of AI-based systems in pre-flight risk assessment. Originality/value The idea behind the proposed method is original and as the authors’ best knowledge, there is no similar framework using social media for flight path safety assessment.