Prediction of the Leonid meteor storm in 1999

After redetermining the level of the Leonid shower in some years from available records, we have constructed the T E- C (time lag) versus CEOS (separation in space) diagram. We found that almost all the confirmed meteor storms in history are placed inside a square, its upper and lower boundaries inc...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inChinese astronomy and astrophysics Vol. 23; no. 3; pp. 268 - 272
Main Author Wu, Guang-jie
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier B.V 01.07.1999
Subjects
comet
Leonids
meteoroids
perturbation
meteoroids
Leonids
perturbation
comet
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Summary:After redetermining the level of the Leonid shower in some years from available records, we have constructed the T E- C (time lag) versus CEOS (separation in space) diagram. We found that almost all the confirmed meteor storms in history are placed inside a square, its upper and lower boundaries inclined at a slope of about 14.7 m/s. The width of this square indicates the Leonid shower could be never seen on more than four consecutive years. With reference to this square, it seems likely that there will be showers in the years 1998–2000 and we may have a storm in 1999 with a ZHR about 2000–5000.
ISSN:0275-1062
1879-128X
DOI:10.1016/S0275-1062(99)00054-5