Climate change caused by renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth: A time series ARDL analysis for Turkey

• Published in: Renewable energy Vol. 193; pp. 434 - 447
• Main Authors: Acaroğlu, Hakan, Güllü, Mustafa
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier Ltd 01.06.2022
• Subjects: Climate change; GDP per Capita; Non-renewable energy consumption; Precipitation; Renewable energy consumption; Temperature; Climate change; Precipitation; Temperature; Renewable energy consumption; Non-renewable energy consumption; GDP per Capita
• ISSN: 0960-1481; 1879-0682
• DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.04.138

This paper focuses on climate change in Turkey caused by energy consumption using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis. The motivation and aim are: Finding evidence of causality for the relationship between energy consumption, growing economies and climate change depending on parameters that vary over time, which are observed and argued through political implications. Temperature and precipitation are the dependent variables for climate change; energy types and Gross Domestic Product per capita are the independent variables for economic determiners. Data was collected annually from various institutions between 1980 and 2019. According to the Toda-Yamamoto test, a negative relationship is determined between renewable energy consumption and temperature in both the short and long term. The results reveal that a 1% increase in renewable energy reduces the temperature by 0.031%. The increase of renewable energy may help in decreasing temperature. Precipitation and non-renewable energy consumption have a positive relationship in both the short and long term, with a 1% increase in non-renewable energy consumption causing a 0.175% increase in precipitation, indicating a negative effect on climate change. Encouraging renewable energy consumption through government incentives can be a powerful solution to decrease the negative effects of climate change in Turkey. •This study examines the relationships between climate change and energy consumption.•It conducts an ARDL analysis and Toda-Yamamoto causality tests in a growing economy.•Renewable energy consumption has a positive effect (reduces) temperature.•Non-renewable energy consumption has a negative effect (increases) precipitation.•Renewable energy consumption is critical mitigating global warming in Turkey.