Analysis of the Construction of Resilient Governance System for Public Safety in Urban Communities in Jiangsu--Based on the Perspective of Adaptive Loop Modeling

• Published in: Applied mathematics and nonlinear sciences Vol. 9; no. 1
• Main Author: Fan, Ruyi
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Sciendo 01.01.2024
• Subjects: 00A71; Adaptive cycle; Public safety resilience governance; Research hypothesis; Resilience measurement; Resilience value
• ISSN: 2444-8656; 2444-8656
• DOI: 10.2478/amns-2024-2023

As urbanization and informatization progress, human societies increasingly face unforeseeable public safety risks, necessitating a comprehensive governance system for early risk prevention. This paper introduces a model for community public safety resilience governance grounded in the adaptive cycle model and formulates research hypotheses. We derive a mathematical formula for calculating the safety disaster risk value using risk management theory, which aids in determining the resilience value and risk level of communities. The proposed governance model assesses community resilience through a four-faceted approach that encompasses natural disasters, accidents, public health events, and social security incidents. The public safety resilience of Community L in N city, Jiangsu Province, was evaluated using this model. Furthermore, it was determined that urban communities in NJ City, WX City, and XZ City had resilience governance scores of 77.655, 73.18, and 73.475, with scores exceeding 70 points. An analysis of 16 subject cities revealed that only five are currently in the renewal stage, representing an optimal state of high resilience and low risk. The remaining 11 cities face varying degrees of challenges. To prevent systemic decay, it is crucial to implement customized public safety governance strategies for different urban types.