Do institutions matter for agri-food imports and exports between China and Africa? A gravity model analysis

This paper aims to study the role of institutional quality on agri-food trade (import and export) between China and 48 African countries during the 2001-2021 period. The gravity model of trade was employed by estimating the Generalised Least Square (GLS) and the Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood (PP...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inEstudios económicos Vol. 41; no. 83; pp. 33 - 69
Main Authors Muhammad Abdullahi, Nazir, Shahriar, Saleh, Kea, Sokvibol, Ali Ibrahim, Adamu, Abdullahi, Aminu Muhammad
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Editorial de la Universidad Nacional del Sur (Ediuns) 02.07.2024
Subjects
Africa-China
Food market
Gravity model
Institutions
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Summary:This paper aims to study the role of institutional quality on agri-food trade (import and export) between China and 48 African countries during the 2001-2021 period. The gravity model of trade was employed by estimating the Generalised Least Square (GLS) and the Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimators, which include zero trade flows for panel data. The main results show that voice and accountability, control of corruption, and the rule of law all enhance agri-food trade flows. While political instability encourages agri-food exports to China. In addition, the economic size of China, the trade cost (distance), and the population of African countries also encourage agri-food trade between China and African economies. Moreover, access to the sea, exchange rate policy, and the economic size of African nations deplete China’s agri-food imports from Africa. We showed the mechanism through which each institutional variable affects China’s agri-food trade flows to African nations.  
ISSN:0425-368X
2525-1295
DOI:10.52292/j.estudecon.2025.4316