美国对华风险寻求政策取向的内生逻辑及战略效应

D822.371.2; 随着国际权力转移进程的加速和大国战略博弈的加剧,中国的崛起被美国视为对其霸权地位的一大威胁.美国对华威胁认知历经霸权护持警戒点、触发点、紧张点和关键点.特别是进入紧张点和关键点后,美国将现状设想为中国受益而自身受损的"损失域",不仅引发其越发强烈的霸权焦虑,而且催生其通过风险寻求来实现霸权护持的非理性战略行为.这种行为的内生动能源自美国霸权固有的逻辑、敌意螺旋的反复作用,以及风险寻求与"护栏"管理的内在矛盾.为遏阻中国崛起,美国对华采取自损式极限"竞赢"、选择性修正主义胁迫、阵营化盟伴网络围堵、代理人式消耗战等...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in国际问题研究 no. 1; pp. 72 - 93
Main Authors 储永正, 宋德星
Format Journal Article
LanguageChinese
Published 国防科技大学外国语学院 2025
Subjects
风险寻求
美国对华政策
霸权护持
中美关系
前景理论
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0452-8832
DOI10.3969/j.issn.0452-8832.2025.01.005

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Abstract D822.371.2; 随着国际权力转移进程的加速和大国战略博弈的加剧,中国的崛起被美国视为对其霸权地位的一大威胁.美国对华威胁认知历经霸权护持警戒点、触发点、紧张点和关键点.特别是进入紧张点和关键点后,美国将现状设想为中国受益而自身受损的"损失域",不仅引发其越发强烈的霸权焦虑,而且催生其通过风险寻求来实现霸权护持的非理性战略行为.这种行为的内生动能源自美国霸权固有的逻辑、敌意螺旋的反复作用,以及风险寻求与"护栏"管理的内在矛盾.为遏阻中国崛起,美国对华采取自损式极限"竞赢"、选择性修正主义胁迫、阵营化盟伴网络围堵、代理人式消耗战等战略手段.对此,中国须直面其凶险,又知晓其限度,据此综合施策,切实维护国家主权、安全和发展利益.
AbstractList D822.371.2; 随着国际权力转移进程的加速和大国战略博弈的加剧,中国的崛起被美国视为对其霸权地位的一大威胁.美国对华威胁认知历经霸权护持警戒点、触发点、紧张点和关键点.特别是进入紧张点和关键点后,美国将现状设想为中国受益而自身受损的"损失域",不仅引发其越发强烈的霸权焦虑,而且催生其通过风险寻求来实现霸权护持的非理性战略行为.这种行为的内生动能源自美国霸权固有的逻辑、敌意螺旋的反复作用,以及风险寻求与"护栏"管理的内在矛盾.为遏阻中国崛起,美国对华采取自损式极限"竞赢"、选择性修正主义胁迫、阵营化盟伴网络围堵、代理人式消耗战等战略手段.对此,中国须直面其凶险,又知晓其限度,据此综合施策,切实维护国家主权、安全和发展利益.
Abstract_FL As the shift of international balance of power accelerates and major-power strategic competition intensifies,China's rise is perceived by the United States as a pacing threat to its hegemonic status.In its effort to preserve hegemony,the US perception of the alleged threat from China has passed the alarm point,the trigger point,the tension point,and the critical point.Particularly since the tension point and critical point were reached,the US has framed the status quo as one where China benefits and it loses.This causes its growing hegemon anxiety,and gives rise to its increasingly irrational strategic behavior through risk-taking actions,which are rooted in the innate logic of its hegemony,the combined effects of spiraling hostility,and the inherent contradiction between risk-taking and"guardrail"management.To contain China's rise,the US has adopted an extreme but self-damaging approach to outcompete China,a coercion tactic to serve its selective revisionist agenda,a bloc-based and networked encirclement that involves its allies and partners,and a strategy of attrition through proxy actors.China must face squarely the dangers of US actions but also know their limits,with a comprehensive policy response to effectively safeguard its own sovereignty,security,and development interests.
Author 宋德星
储永正
AuthorAffiliation 国防科技大学外国语学院
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Keywords 风险寻求
美国对华政策
霸权护持
中美关系
前景理论
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Title 美国对华风险寻求政策取向的内生逻辑及战略效应
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