FORECASTING THE PROGRESS OF COKING AND FOULING FOR IMPROVED PRODUCTION PLANNING IN CHEMICAL PRODUCTION PLANTS

• Main Authors: BLANKERS, Bart, DE WINNE, Hendrik, BADINSKI, Alexander, KECK, Daniel, SAUER, Simeon, HAHKALA, Miriam Angela Anna, JENNE, Eric, BUCK, Britta Carolin
• Format: Patent
• Language: English; French
• Published: 28.01.2021
• Subjects: BLASTING; CHEMISTRY; CRACKING HYDROCARBON OILS; DETAILS OR ACCESSORIES OF FURNACES, KILNS, OVENS, OR RETORTS,IN SO FAR AS THEY ARE OF KINDS OCCURRING IN MORE THAN ONE KINDOF FURNACE; FUELS; FURNACES; HEATING; KILNS; LIGHTING; LUBRICANTS; MECHANICAL ENGINEERING; METALLURGY; MINERAL WAXES; OVENS; PEAT; PETROLEUM, GAS OR COKE INDUSTRIES; PRODUCTION OF LIQUID HYDROCARBON MIXTURES, e.g. BY DESTRUCTIVEHYDROGENATION, OLIGOMERISATION, POLYMERISATION; RECOVERY OF HYDROCARBON OILS FROM OIL-SHALE, OIL-SAND, ORGASES; REFINING MIXTURES MAINLY CONSISTING OF HYDROCARBONS; REFORMING OF NAPHTHA; RETORTS; TECHNICAL GASES CONTAINING CARBON MONOXIDE; WEAPONS

In order to predict the future evolution of a health-state of an equipment and/or a processing unit of a chemical production plant, e.g., a steam cracker, a computer-implemented method is provided, which builds a data-driven model for the future key performance indicator based on the key performance indicator of today, the processing condition of today, and the processing condition over a prediction horizon. L'objectif de la présente invention est de prédire l'évolution future de l'état de santé d'un équipement et/ou d'une unité de traitement d'une installation de production de produits chimiques, par exemple, un vapocraqueur. L'invention concerne un procédé informatique pouvant construire un modèle entraîné par des données pour un indicateur de performance clé future sur la base d'un indicateur de performance clé actuel, de l'état de traitement actuel, et de l'état de traitement sur un horizon de prédiction.