基于CF-LR模型的典型红层地区地质灾害易发性评价——以赤水市为例

P694; 为探究地质灾害与红层地区风化调控作用的关系,以贵州省典型红层地区赤水市为研究区,选取太阳辐射、高程、坡度、地层分布、降雨量、NDVI、道路缓冲区和地形起伏度8个影响因子,引入皮尔森相关系数对影响因子进行共线性分析,采用CF模型、LR模型及CF与LR耦合模型在GIS平台上进行地质灾害易发性分析,并利用ROC曲线法对3种模型的精度进行检验.结果表明:3种模型的AUC值分别为0.854,0.875和0.905,其中,耦合模型AUC值最高,说明耦合模型评价精度更高,灾害易发性分区更准确.研究结果可为赤水市地质灾害预防工作与红层地区地质灾害易发性评价研究提供参考....

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Published in河南理工大学学报(自然科学版) Vol. 42; no. 6; pp. 51 - 117
Main Authors 程斌, 杨根兰, 覃乙根, 黄凯杰, 史文兵, 易庆波, 吴运武
Format Journal Article
LanguageChinese
Published 贵州大学 资源与环境工程学院,贵州 贵阳 550025%中山大学 地球科学与工程学院 广东省地球动力作用与地质灾害重点实验室,广东 广州 510000%中国电建集团贵阳勘测设计研究院有限公司,贵州 贵阳 550081%贵州开阳经开产业投资发展有限公司,贵州 贵阳 550300 01.11.2023
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Abstract P694; 为探究地质灾害与红层地区风化调控作用的关系,以贵州省典型红层地区赤水市为研究区,选取太阳辐射、高程、坡度、地层分布、降雨量、NDVI、道路缓冲区和地形起伏度8个影响因子,引入皮尔森相关系数对影响因子进行共线性分析,采用CF模型、LR模型及CF与LR耦合模型在GIS平台上进行地质灾害易发性分析,并利用ROC曲线法对3种模型的精度进行检验.结果表明:3种模型的AUC值分别为0.854,0.875和0.905,其中,耦合模型AUC值最高,说明耦合模型评价精度更高,灾害易发性分区更准确.研究结果可为赤水市地质灾害预防工作与红层地区地质灾害易发性评价研究提供参考.
AbstractList P694; 为探究地质灾害与红层地区风化调控作用的关系,以贵州省典型红层地区赤水市为研究区,选取太阳辐射、高程、坡度、地层分布、降雨量、NDVI、道路缓冲区和地形起伏度8个影响因子,引入皮尔森相关系数对影响因子进行共线性分析,采用CF模型、LR模型及CF与LR耦合模型在GIS平台上进行地质灾害易发性分析,并利用ROC曲线法对3种模型的精度进行检验.结果表明:3种模型的AUC值分别为0.854,0.875和0.905,其中,耦合模型AUC值最高,说明耦合模型评价精度更高,灾害易发性分区更准确.研究结果可为赤水市地质灾害预防工作与红层地区地质灾害易发性评价研究提供参考.
Abstract_FL To explore the relationship between geological hazards and weathering regulation in red-bed areas,Chishui City,a typical red-bed area in Guizhou Province,was selected as the research area.Eight influenc-ing factors were selected,including solar radiation,elevation,slope,stratigraphic distribution,rainfall,NDVI,road buffer and topographic relief,and Pearson correlation coefficient was introduced to analyze the covari-ance of the selected influencing factors.The CF model,LR model and the coupling model of CF and LR were used to analyze the geological hazard susceptibility on GIS platform,and the accuracy of the three models was tested by ROC curve method.The results show that the AUC values(offline area)of the three models are 0.854,0.875,and 0.905,respectively.Among them,the coupled model has the highest AUC value,indicating higher evaluation accuracy of the coupled model and more accurate zoning of disaster sus-ceptibility.The research results can provide reference for the prevention of geological disasters in Chishui City and the evaluation of geological disaster susceptibility in the red-bed areas.
Author 易庆波
史文兵
吴运武
黄凯杰
覃乙根
程斌
杨根兰
AuthorAffiliation 贵州大学 资源与环境工程学院,贵州 贵阳 550025%中山大学 地球科学与工程学院 广东省地球动力作用与地质灾害重点实验室,广东 广州 510000%中国电建集团贵阳勘测设计研究院有限公司,贵州 贵阳 550081%贵州开阳经开产业投资发展有限公司,贵州 贵阳 550300
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Author_FL QIN Yigen
HUANG Kaijie
YI Qingbo
CHENG Bin
SHI Wenbing
WU Yunwu
YANG Genlan
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DocumentTitle_FL Disaster susceptibility evaluation in typical red-bed areas based on CF-LR coupling method:A case study of Chishui City
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Keywords 太阳辐射
logistic regression model
易发性评价
vulnerability evaluation
red-bed
确定性系数模型
deterministic coefficient model
逻辑回归模型
solar radiation
皮尔森相关系数
红层
Pearson correlation coefficient
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PublicationTitle 河南理工大学学报(自然科学版)
PublicationTitle_FL Journal of Henan Polytechnic University(Natural Science)
PublicationYear 2023
Publisher 贵州大学 资源与环境工程学院,贵州 贵阳 550025%中山大学 地球科学与工程学院 广东省地球动力作用与地质灾害重点实验室,广东 广州 510000%中国电建集团贵阳勘测设计研究院有限公司,贵州 贵阳 550081%贵州开阳经开产业投资发展有限公司,贵州 贵阳 550300
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Title 基于CF-LR模型的典型红层地区地质灾害易发性评价——以赤水市为例
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