Nonlinear and delayed impacts of climate on dengue risk in Barbados: A modelling study

• Published in: PLoS medicine Vol. 15; no. 7; p. e1002613
• Main Authors: Lowe, Rachel, Gasparrini, Antonio, Van Meerbeeck, Cédric J, Lippi, Catherine A, Mahon, Roché, Trotman, Adrian R, Rollock, Leslie, Hinds, Avery Q J, Ryan, Sadie J, Stewart-Ibarra, Anna M
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States Public Library of Science 17.07.2018; Public Library of Science (PLoS)
• Subjects: Aedes - virology; Analysis; Animals; Aquatic insects; Barbados; Barbados - epidemiology; Bayes Theorem; Bayesian analysis; Biology and life sciences; Climate; Climate change; Climate effects; Decision making; Dengue; Dengue - diagnosis; Dengue - epidemiology; Dengue - transmission; Dengue - virology; Dengue fever; Dengue Virus - pathogenicity; Disease Outbreaks; Disease transmission; Disease Vectors; Drought; Droughts; Earth Sciences; Ecology; Ecology and Environmental Sciences; Environmental risk; Epidemics; Excess rainfall; Exposure; Fever; Floods; Health risk assessment; Hot Temperature - adverse effects; Humans; Hydrologic data; Hydrologic models; Hydrology; Hygiene; Indicators; Influence; Internet; Malalties víriques; Mathematical models; Medicine; Medicine and Health Sciences; Meteorology; Mosquitoes; Mosquits; Nonlinear Dynamics; Outbreaks; Parameter estimation; People and places; Precipitation; Public health; Rain; Rainfall; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Studies; Temperature; Time Factors; Trends; Tropical diseases; Vector-borne diseases; Virus diseases; Water shortages; Weather; Zika virus; Barbados; New York; United Kingdom > UK; United States > US; Brazil; Mexico; Florida; Spain

Over the last 5 years (2013-2017), the Caribbean region has faced an unprecedented crisis of co-occurring epidemics of febrile illness due to arboviruses transmitted by the Aedes sp. mosquito (dengue, chikungunya, and Zika). Since 2013, the Caribbean island of Barbados has experienced 3 dengue outbr...