自然资源资产化视域浙江水资源资产空间区划研究
借助浙江水资源统计数据并基于自然资源资产化理念构建差分自回归移动平均模型(ARIMA),预测、区划浙江水资源资产,揭示其空间管理规律.研究发现:(1)浙江省水资源资产总体呈现上升态势,地表水资源资产约是地下水资源资产的5倍,且该结构差有增大趋势;(2)浙江11市水资源资产可分为3类,且部分市处于类型变动态;(3)浙江市域水资源资产量未来变动趋势呈现高基底总体上升型、中基底总体不变型、高基底总体下降型三类;(4)基于水资源资产区划将浙江水资源资产划分为工程技术改善区、严格控制区、时段调蓄区、综合管治区四类空间管理类型区....
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Published in | 上海国土资源 Vol. 38; no. 4; pp. 63 - 68 |
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Main Author | |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | Chinese |
Published |
上海市地质学会
01.12.2017
上海市地质调查研究院 宁波大学人文地理与城乡规划研究所,浙江·宁波 315211 宁波大学昂热大学联合学院地理与空间信息技术系,浙江·宁波 315211 |
Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
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Summary: | 借助浙江水资源统计数据并基于自然资源资产化理念构建差分自回归移动平均模型(ARIMA),预测、区划浙江水资源资产,揭示其空间管理规律.研究发现:(1)浙江省水资源资产总体呈现上升态势,地表水资源资产约是地下水资源资产的5倍,且该结构差有增大趋势;(2)浙江11市水资源资产可分为3类,且部分市处于类型变动态;(3)浙江市域水资源资产量未来变动趋势呈现高基底总体上升型、中基底总体不变型、高基底总体下降型三类;(4)基于水资源资产区划将浙江水资源资产划分为工程技术改善区、严格控制区、时段调蓄区、综合管治区四类空间管理类型区. |
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Bibliography: | water resource management; natural resources capitalization; assets valuation of water resources; time series forecast; management zoning Based on the idea of natural resource capitalization, the water resources related statistics in Zhejiang and an ARIMA model were used to forecast the water resources assets of Zhejiang and to develop a space management zoning program. The study found that: (1) water resources assets in Zhejiang show an upward trend, the surface water resources assets are about fve times that of the groundwater resources assets, and the structure of the difference is increasing. (2) Urban water resources assets can be divided into three levels in Zhejiang, with some changing of levels. (3) There are three main types of future change of water resources assets in cities in Zhejiang: (i) high base and overall rising, (ii) medium base and unchanged, and (iii) high base and overall dropping. (4) Based on the concept of zoning, the type of space management of water resources assets in Zhejiang is d |
ISSN: | 2095-1329 |
DOI: | 10.3969/j.issn.2095-1329.2017.04.014 |