Evaluating the Effectiveness of Social Distancing Interventions to Delay or Flatten the Epidemic Curve of Coronavirus Disease

• Published in: Emerging infectious diseases Vol. 26; no. 8; pp. 1740 - 1748
• Main Authors: Matrajt, Laura, Leung, Tiffany
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States U.S. National Center for Infectious Diseases 01.08.2020; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Subjects: 2019 novel coronavirus disease; Adolescent; Adult; Adults; Age Factors; Age groups; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Analysis; Betacoronavirus - pathogenicity; Child; Child, Preschool; Cities; Clinical Laboratory Techniques - methods; Communicable Disease Control - methods; Communicable Disease Control - statistics & numerical data; Contact Tracing - statistics & numerical data; Coronavirus Infections - diagnosis; Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology; Coronavirus Infections - mortality; Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control; Coronaviruses; COVID-19; COVID-19 Testing; Disease transmission; Effectiveness of Social Distancing Interventions to Delay or Flatten the Epidemic Curve of Coronavirus Disease; Epidemics; Expedited; Fatalities; Female; Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data; Humans; Incidence; Infant; Infant, Newborn; Infectious Disease Incubation Period; Intervention; Male; Middle Aged; Models, Statistical; Older people; Pandemics - prevention & control; Patient Isolation - methods; Patient Isolation - statistics & numerical data; Physical Distancing; Pneumonia, Viral - diagnosis; Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology; Pneumonia, Viral - mortality; Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control; Population; respiratory infections; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; Severe acute respiratory syndrome; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; Severity of Illness Index; Social distancing; Social distancing (Public health); Survival Analysis; United States - epidemiology; United States; Cities; United States > US; Europe; viruses; nonpharmaceutical interventions; SARS; coronavirus; zoonoses; respiratory infections; COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; social distancing interventions; mathematical model; 2019 novel coronavirus disease; coronavirus disease; disease transmission

By April 2, 2020, >1 million persons worldwide were infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. We used a mathematical model to investigate the effectiveness of social distancing interventions in a mid-sized city. Interventions reduced contacts of adults >60 years of age, ad...