Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

• Published in: The Lancet (British edition) Vol. 402; no. 10397; pp. 203 - 234
• Main Authors: Stafford, Lauryn K, Cruz, Jessica A, Hagins, Hailey, Bah, Sulaiman, Aali, Amirali, Barrow, Amadou, Boloor, Archith, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Cheema, Huzaifa Ahmad, Chowdhury, Enayet Karim, Coberly, Kaleb, Cruz-Martins, Natália, Das, Saswati, Dashti, Mohsen, De la Cruz-Góngora, Vanessa, Doan, Linh Phuong, Dutta, Siddhartha, Elmeligy, Omar Abdelsadek Abdou, Elmonem, Mohamed A, Fischer, Florian, Golechha, Mahaveer, Guled, Rashid Abdi, Gyawali, Bishal, Haile, Teklehaimanot Gereziher, Hajibeygi, Ramtin, Adegboye, Oyelola A, Holla, Ramesh, Jayapal, Sathish Kumar, Joukar, Farahnaz, Kadashetti, Vidya, Karaye, Ibraheem M, Katoto, Patrick D. M. C, Kazemian, Sina, Komaki, Somayeh, Korzh, Oleksii, Krishan, Kewal, Kumar, Rakesh, Kundu, Satyajit, Latief, Kamaluddin, Lawal, Basira Kankia, Lee, Paul H, Lim, Lee-Ling, Lorkowski, Stefan, Maghazachi, Azzam A, Malik, Iram, Mamun, Abdullah A, Mardi, Parham, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Misganaw, Awoke, Mishra, Manish, Mojiri-forushani, Hoda, Monasta, Lorenzo, Moniruzzaman, Md, Montazeri, Fateme, Morovatdar, Negar, Naghavi, Mohsen, Nair, Tapas Sadasivan, Nauman, Javaid, Nguyen, Hau Thi Hien, Nizam, Muhammad A, Osuagwu, Uchechukwu Levi, Oulhaj, Abderrahim, Panagiotakos, Demosthenes, Parekh, Utsav, Pepito, Veincent Christian Filipino, Postma, Maarten J, Prates, Elton Junio Sady, Rahman, Mosiur, Ram, Pradhum, Ramazanu, Sheena, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Rengasamy, Kannan R. R, Renzaho, Andre M. N, Riaz, Muhammad, Ribeiro, Daniela, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Saddik, Basema, Sahoo, Harihar, Saleh, Mohamed A, Shabany, Maryam, Shahid, Samiah, Singh, Jasvinder A, Sundström, Johan, Taki, Elahe, Temesgen, Worku Animaw, Thomas, Nihal, Tufa, Derara Girma, Vaithinathan, Asokan Govindaraj, Ansari, Golnoosh, Vart, Priya, Varthya, Shoban Babu, Waheed, Yasir, Xu, Suowen, Yesiltepe, Metin, Yohannis, Hunachew Kibret, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Zarrintan, Armin, Zodpey, Sanjay, Zuniga, Yves Miel H, Asemu, Mulu Tiruneh
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Amsterdam Elsevier 15.07.2023; Elsevier Ltd; Elsevier Limited
• Subjects: Age; Age composition; Aged; Allmän medicin; Autopsies; Autopsy; Bayes Theorem; Bayesian analysis; Charities; Collaboration; Computation; Death; Diabetes; Diabetes mellitus; Diabetes mellitus (insulin dependent); Diabetes mellitus (non-insulin dependent); Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 - epidemiology; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - epidemiology; Diet; Disease; Estimates; Family Medicine; Female; Global Burden of Disease; Global Health; Health risks; Humans; Injury analysis; Life Expectancy; Life span; Male; Mathematical models; Medicin och hälsovetenskap; Mortality; Older people; Physical activity; Population; Populations; Prevalence; Public health; Quality-Adjusted Life Years; Risk assessment; Risk Factors; Risk management; Sex; Tobacco
• ISSN: 1474-547X; 0140-6736; 1474-547X
• DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01301-6

Diabetes is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide, and affects people regardless of country, age group, or sex. Using the most recent evidentiary and analytical framework from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD), we produced location-specific, age-specific, and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence and burden from 1990 to 2021, the proportion of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in 2021, the proportion of the type 2 diabetes burden attributable to selected risk factors, and projections of diabetes prevalence through 2050.