Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems

Droughts are often long-lasting phenomena, without a distinct start or end and with impacts cascading across sectors and systems, creating long-term legacies. Nevertheless, our current perceptions and management of droughts and their impacts are often event-based, which can limit the effective asses...

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Published inNatural hazards and earth system sciences Vol. 24; no. 9; pp. 3173 - 3205
Main Authors Van Loon, Anne F., Kchouk, Sarra, Matanó, Alessia, Tootoonchi, Faranak, Alvarez-Garreton, Camila, Hassaballah, Khalid E. A., Wu, Minchao, Wens, Marthe L. K., Shyrokaya, Anastasiya, Ridolfi, Elena, Biella, Riccardo, Nagavciuc, Viorica, Barendrecht, Marlies H., Bastos, Ana, Cavalcante, Louise, de Vries, Franciska T., Garcia, Margaret, Mård, Johanna, Streefkerk, Ileen N., Teutschbein, Claudia, Tootoonchi, Roshanak, Weesie, Ruben, Aich, Valentin, Boisier, Juan P., Di Baldassarre, Giuliano, Du, Yiheng, Galleguillos, Mauricio, Garreaud, René, Ionita, Monica, Khatami, Sina, Koehler, Johanna K. L., Luce, Charles H., Maskey, Shreedhar, Mendoza, Heidi D., Mwangi, Moses N., Pechlivanidis, Ilias G., Ribeiro Neto, Germano G., Roy, Tirthankar, Stefanski, Robert, Trambauer, Patricia, Koebele, Elizabeth A., Vico, Giulia, Werner, Micha
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Katlenburg-Lindau Copernicus GmbH 23.09.2024
Copernicus Publications
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Abstract Droughts are often long-lasting phenomena, without a distinct start or end and with impacts cascading across sectors and systems, creating long-term legacies. Nevertheless, our current perceptions and management of droughts and their impacts are often event-based, which can limit the effective assessment of drought risks and reduction of drought impacts. Here, we advocate for changing this perspective and viewing drought as a hydrological–ecological–social continuum. We take a systems theory perspective and focus on how “memory” causes feedback and interactions between parts of the interconnected systems at different timescales. We first discuss the characteristics of the drought continuum with a focus on the hydrological, ecological, and social systems separately, and then we study the system of systems. Our analysis is based on a review of the literature and a study of five cases: Chile, the Colorado River basin in the USA, northeast Brazil, Kenya, and the Rhine River basin in northwest Europe. We find that the memories of past dry and wet periods, carried by both bio-physical (e.g. groundwater, vegetation) and social systems (e.g. people, governance), influence how future drought risk manifests. We identify four archetypes of drought dynamics: impact and recovery, slow resilience building, gradual collapse, and high resilience–big shock. The interactions between the hydrological, ecological, and social systems result in systems shifting between these types, which plays out differently in the five case studies. We call for more research on drought preconditions and recovery in different systems, on dynamics cascading between systems and triggering system changes, and on dynamic vulnerability and maladaptation. Additionally, we advocate for more continuous monitoring of drought hazards and impacts, modelling tools that better incorporate memories and adaptation responses, and management strategies that increase societal and institutional memory. This will help us to better deal with the complex hydrological–ecological–social drought continuum and identify effective pathways to adaptation and mitigation.
AbstractList Droughts are often long-lasting phenomena, without a distinct start or end and with impacts cascading across sectors and systems, creating long-term legacies. Nevertheless, our current perceptions and management of droughts and their impacts are often event-based, which can limit the effective assessment of drought risks and reduction of drought impacts. Here, we advocate for changing this perspective and viewing drought as a hydrological–ecological–social continuum. We take a systems theory perspective and focus on how “memory” causes feedback and interactions between parts of the interconnected systems at different timescales. We first discuss the characteristics of the drought continuum with a focus on the hydrological, ecological, and social systems separately, and then we study the system of systems. Our analysis is based on a review of the literature and a study of five cases: Chile, the Colorado River basin in the USA, northeast Brazil, Kenya, and the Rhine River basin in northwest Europe. We find thatthe memories of past dry and wet periods, carried by both bio-physical (e.g. groundwater, vegetation) and social systems (e.g. people, governance), influence how future drought risk manifests. We identify four archetypes of drought dynamics: impact and recovery, slow resilience building, gradual collapse, and high resilience–big shock. The interactions between the hydrological, ecological, and social systems result in systems shifting between these types, which plays out differently in the five case studies. We call for more research on drought preconditions and recovery in different systems, on dynamics cascading between systems and triggering system changes, and on dynamic vulnerability and maladaptation. Additionally, we advocate for more continuous monitoring of drought hazards and impacts, modelling tools that better incorporate memories and adaptation responses, and management strategies that increase societal and institutional memory. This will help us to better deal with the complex hydrological–ecological–social drought continuum and identify effective pathways to adaptation and mitigation.
Droughts are often long-lasting phenomena, without a distinct start or end and with impacts cascading across sectors and systems, creating long-term legacies. Nevertheless, our current perceptions and management of droughts and their impacts are often event-based, which can limit the effective assessment of drought risks and reduction of drought impacts. Here, we advocate for changing this perspective and viewing drought as a hydrological–ecological–social continuum. We take a systems theory perspective and focus on how “memory” causes feedback and interactions between parts of the interconnected systems at different timescales. We first discuss the characteristics of the drought continuum with a focus on the hydrological, ecological, and social systems separately, and then we study the system of systems. Our analysis is based on a review of the literature and a study of five cases: Chile, the Colorado River basin in the USA, northeast Brazil, Kenya, and the Rhine River basin in northwest Europe. We find that the memories of past dry and wet periods, carried by both bio-physical (e.g. groundwater, vegetation) and social systems (e.g. people, governance), influence how future drought risk manifests. We identify four archetypes of drought dynamics: impact and recovery, slow resilience building, gradual collapse, and high resilience–big shock. The interactions between the hydrological, ecological, and social systems result in systems shifting between these types, which plays out differently in the five case studies. We call for more research on drought preconditions and recovery in different systems, on dynamics cascading between systems and triggering system changes, and on dynamic vulnerability and maladaptation. Additionally, we advocate for more continuous monitoring of drought hazards and impacts, modelling tools that better incorporate memories and adaptation responses, and management strategies that increase societal and institutional memory. This will help us to better deal with the complex hydrological–ecological–social drought continuum and identify effective pathways to adaptation and mitigation.
Droughts are often long-lasting phenomena, without a distinct start or end and with impacts cascading across sectors and systems, creating long-term legacies. Nevertheless, our current perceptions and management of droughts and their impacts are often event-based, which can limit the effective assessment of drought risks and reduction of drought impacts. Here, we advocate for changing this perspective and viewing drought as a hydrological–ecological–social continuum. We take a systems theory perspective and focus on how “memory” causes feedback and interactions between parts of the interconnected systems at different timescales. We first discuss the characteristics of the drought continuum with a focus on the hydrological, ecological, and social systems separately, and then we study the system of systems. Our analysis is based on a review of the literature and a study of five cases: Chile, the Colorado River basin in the USA, northeast Brazil, Kenya, and the Rhine River basin in northwest Europe. We find that the memories of past dry and wet periods, carried by both bio-physical (e.g. groundwater, vegetation) and social systems (e.g. people, governance), influence how future drought risk manifests. We identify four archetypes of drought dynamics: impact and recovery, slow resilience building, gradual collapse, and high resilience–big shock. The interactions between the hydrological, ecological, and social systems result in systems shifting between these types, which plays out differently in the five case studies. We call for more research on drought preconditions and recovery in different systems, on dynamics cascading between systems and triggering system changes, and on dynamic vulnerability and maladaptation. Additionally, we advocate for more continuous monitoring of drought hazards and impacts, modelling tools that better incorporate memories and adaptation responses, and management strategies that increase societal and institutional memory. This will help us to better deal with the complex hydrological–ecological–social drought continuum and identify effective pathways to adaptation and mitigation.
Audience Academic
Author Bastos, Ana
Pechlivanidis, Ilias G.
Hassaballah, Khalid E. A.
Mård, Johanna
Shyrokaya, Anastasiya
Streefkerk, Ileen N.
Di Baldassarre, Giuliano
Wu, Minchao
Teutschbein, Claudia
Vico, Giulia
Ridolfi, Elena
Trambauer, Patricia
Du, Yiheng
Werner, Micha
Tootoonchi, Faranak
Garcia, Margaret
Khatami, Sina
Aich, Valentin
Ribeiro Neto, Germano G.
Barendrecht, Marlies H.
Tootoonchi, Roshanak
de Vries, Franciska T.
Koehler, Johanna K. L.
Wens, Marthe L. K.
Ionita, Monica
Roy, Tirthankar
Kchouk, Sarra
Biella, Riccardo
Boisier, Juan P.
Maskey, Shreedhar
Stefanski, Robert
Mendoza, Heidi D.
Nagavciuc, Viorica
Mwangi, Moses N.
Matanó, Alessia
Weesie, Ruben
Galleguillos, Mauricio
Luce, Charles H.
Cavalcante, Louise
Van Loon, Anne F.
Alvarez-Garreton, Camila
Koebele, Elizabeth A.
Garreaud, René
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SecondaryResourceType review_article
Snippet Droughts are often long-lasting phenomena, without a distinct start or end and with impacts cascading across sectors and systems, creating long-term legacies....
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proquest
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StartPage 3173
SubjectTerms Adaptation
Drought
Drought monitoring
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Ecological effects
Ecosystems
Environmental impact
Environmental risk
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap
Geovetenskap och relaterad miljövetenskap
Groundwater
Hazard identification
Hazard mitigation
Hydrologi
Hydrologic drought
Hydrology
Literature reviews
Mitigation
Multidisciplinär geovetenskap
Natural Sciences
Naturvetenskap
Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Oceanography, Hydrology, Water Resources
Precipitation
Recovery
Resilience
Risk assessment
River basins
Rivers
System of systems
Systems theory
Vegetation
Water shortages
Weather hazards
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Title Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems
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https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-537683
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Volume 24
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