Detecting the impact of temperature on transmission of Zika, dengue, and chikungunya using mechanistic models

• Published in: PLoS neglected tropical diseases Vol. 11; no. 4; p. e0005568
• Main Authors: Mordecai, Erin A, Cohen, Jeremy M, Evans, Michelle V, Gudapati, Prithvi, Johnson, Leah R, Lippi, Catherine A, Miazgowicz, Kerri, Murdock, Courtney C, Rohr, Jason R, Ryan, Sadie J, Savage, Van, Shocket, Marta S, Stewart Ibarra, Anna, Thomas, Matthew B, Weikel, Daniel P
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States Public Library of Science 27.04.2017; Public Library of Science (PLoS)
• Subjects: Aedes - growth & development; Aedes aegypti; Aedes albopictus; Alphavirus; Analysis; Animals; Aquatic insects; Biology and life sciences; Blood; Chikungunya fever; Chikungunya Fever - epidemiology; Chikungunya Fever - transmission; Chikungunya virus; Computer viruses; Dengue; Dengue - epidemiology; Dengue - transmission; Dengue fever; Dengue virus; Disease control; Disease transmission; Disease Transmission, Infectious; Epidemics; Epidemiology; Female; Flaviviridae; Flavivirus; Humans; Infectious diseases; Influence; Medicine and Health Sciences; Models, Statistical; Mosquito Vectors - growth & development; Mosquitoes; Physical Sciences; Population number; Public health; Research and Analysis Methods; Seasonal comparisons; Seasons; Social factors; Socioeconomic data; Socioeconomic factors; Socioeconomics; Temperate zones; Temperature; Temperature dependence; Togaviridae; Topography, Medical; Transmission; Tropical diseases; Vector-borne diseases; Viral diseases; Viral infections; Zika virus; Zika virus infection; Zika Virus Infection - epidemiology; Zika Virus Infection - transmission

Recent epidemics of Zika, dengue, and chikungunya have heightened the need to understand the seasonal and geographic range of transmission by Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus mosquitoes. We use mechanistic transmission models to derive predictions for how the probability and magnitude of transmissio...