美国跨域威慑战略动态及其对大国间战略稳定性的影响

由于国际环境的变化，“跨域威慑”理论已得到广泛关注。美国政界也已将跨域威慑作为美国国防战略的核心。美国针对常规冲突和网络太空领域的冲突，提出“全域作战”概念，以实施基于战术性拒止逻辑的跨域威慑战略；以及“韧性”概念，以实施基于战略性拒止逻辑的跨域威慑战略。此外，针对低频谱冲突，美国强调全政府战略，意图结合非军事领域实施惩罚性威慑，并进行“全频谱”竞争。美国实施的跨域威慑战略不仅增加危机横向升级风险，还要求先发制人的行动，以及相对对手的绝对优势，因而导致大国间战略稳定性弱。...

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Published in复旦学报（社会科学版） Vol. 66; no. 4; pp. 159 - 169
Main Author 赵懿黑
Format Journal Article
LanguageChinese
Published 复旦大学 25.07.2024
上海社会科学院 国际问题研究所,上海 200020
Subjects
跨域威慑
威慑理论
美国战略
中美关系
U.S.-Sino relationships
cross-domain deterrence
U.S.strategy
strategic stability
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Abstract 由于国际环境的变化，“跨域威慑”理论已得到广泛关注。美国政界也已将跨域威慑作为美国国防战略的核心。美国针对常规冲突和网络太空领域的冲突，提出“全域作战”概念，以实施基于战术性拒止逻辑的跨域威慑战略；以及“韧性”概念，以实施基于战略性拒止逻辑的跨域威慑战略。此外，针对低频谱冲突，美国强调全政府战略，意图结合非军事领域实施惩罚性威慑，并进行“全频谱”竞争。美国实施的跨域威慑战略不仅增加危机横向升级风险，还要求先发制人的行动，以及相对对手的绝对优势，因而导致大国间战略稳定性弱。
AbstractList 由于国际环境的变化，“跨域威慑”理论已得到广泛关注。美国政界也已将跨域威慑作为美国国防战略的核心。美国针对常规冲突和网络太空领域的冲突，提出“全域作战”概念，以实施基于战术性拒止逻辑的跨域威慑战略；以及“韧性”概念，以实施基于战略性拒止逻辑的跨域威慑战略。此外，针对低频谱冲突，美国强调全政府战略，意图结合非军事领域实施惩罚性威慑，并进行“全频谱”竞争。美国实施的跨域威慑战略不仅增加危机横向升级风险，还要求先发制人的行动，以及相对对手的绝对优势，因而导致大国间战略稳定性弱。
由于国际环境的变化,"跨域威慑"理论已得到广泛关注.美国政界也已将跨域威慑作为美国国防战略的核心.美国针对常规冲突和网络太空领域的冲突,提出"全域作战"概念,以实施基于战术性拒止逻辑的跨域威慑战略;以及"韧性"概念,以实施基于战略性拒止逻辑的跨域威慑战略.此外,针对低频谱冲突,美国强调全政府战略,意图结合非军事领域实施惩罚性威慑,并进行"全频谱"竞争.美国实施的跨域威慑战略不仅增加危机横向升级风险,还要求先发制人的行动,以及相对对手的绝对优势,因而导致大国间战略稳定性弱.
Abstract_FL As a result of changes in the international environment,the concept of"cross-domain deterrence"has gained widespread attention.The U.S.politicians has also made cross-domain deterrence a centerpiece of U.S.defense strategy.The United States has proposed the strategy of"Joint Warfighting Concept for All-Domain Operations"to implement a cross-domain deterrence strategy based on the logic of tactical denial,as well as the concept of"resilience"to implement a cross-domain deterrence strategy based on the logic of strategic denial,in response to both conventional conflicts and conflicts in cyber or space domains.In addition,in response to low-spectrum conflicts,the United States emphasizes a whole-of-government strategy that seeks to implement punishment deterrence in conjunction with non-military domains and to engage in"full-spectrum"competition.The cross-domain deterrence strategy implemented by the United States not only increases the risk of horizontal escalation of crises,but also requires preemptive action and absolute superiority over the adversary,thus leading to weak strategic instability among the major powers.
Author 赵懿黑
AuthorAffiliation 上海社会科学院 国际问题研究所,上海 200020
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Keywords 跨域威慑
威慑理论
美国战略
中美关系
U.S.-Sino relationships
cross-domain deterrence
U.S.strategy
strategic stability
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