Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak

• Published in: International journal of infectious diseases Vol. 92; pp. 214 - 217
• Main Authors: Zhao, Shi, Lin, Qianyin, Ran, Jinjun, Musa, Salihu S., Yang, Guangpu, Wang, Weiming, Lou, Yijun, Gao, Daozhou, Yang, Lin, He, Daihai, Wang, Maggie H.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Canada Elsevier Ltd 01.03.2020; The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases; Elsevier
• Subjects: Basic Reproduction Number; Betacoronavirus - physiology; China - epidemiology; Coronavirus Infections - diagnosis; Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology; Coronavirus Infections - transmission; COVID-19; Epidemics; Humans; Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus - physiology; Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV); Pandemics; Pneumonia, Viral - diagnosis; Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology; Pneumonia, Viral - transmission; SARS-CoV-2; Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus - physiology; World Health Organization; China; Basic reproduction number; Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

•The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia has caused 2033 confirmed cases, including 56 deaths in mainland China, by 2020-01-26 17:06.•We aim to estimate the basic reproduction number of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan, China using the exponential growth model method.•We estimated that the mean R0 ranges from...