Incorporating uncertainty in predictive species distribution modelling

• Published in: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B. Biological sciences Vol. 367; no. 1586; pp. 247 - 258
• Main Authors: Beale, Colin M., Lennon, Jack J.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: England The Royal Society 19.01.2012
• Subjects: Bioclimate Envelope; Climate change; Climate Impacts; Climate models; Demography; Distribution Model; Ecological modeling; Ecosystem; Genetic Variation; Information relevance; Modeling; Models, Theoretical; Niche Model; Parametric models; Population Dynamics; Process-Based Model; Review; Spatial Analysis; Spatial models; Species; Statistical relevance model; Stochastic Processes

Motivated by the need to solve ecological problems (climate change, habitat fragmentation and biological invasions), there has been increasing interest in species distribution models (SDMs). Predictions from these models inform conservation policy, invasive species management and disease-control mea...