Parallel trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and retail/recreation and public transport mobility during non-lockdown periods
•A strong relationship was found between transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 and mobility during the period between the first two waves of the coronavirus disease-2019 pandemic.•Trends in mobility and viral transmission evolved almost in parallel during this period.•Track...
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Published in | International journal of infectious diseases Vol. 104; pp. 693 - 695 |
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Main Authors | , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
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01.03.2021
Elsevier The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases |
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Abstract | •A strong relationship was found between transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 and mobility during the period between the first two waves of the coronavirus disease-2019 pandemic.•Trends in mobility and viral transmission evolved almost in parallel during this period.•Tracking changes in mobility patterns would help public health authorities to anticipate increases in transmission.•This result is important from a public health perspective when relaxing mitigation measures.
Recent literature strongly supports the hypothesis that mobility restriction and social distancing play a crucial role in limiting the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). During the first wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, it was shown that mobility restriction reduced transmission significantly. This study found that, in the period between the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was high positive correlation between trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and mobility. These two trends oscillated simultaneously, and increased mobility following the relaxation of lockdown rules was significantly associated with increased transmission. From a public health perspective, these results highlight the importance of tracking changes in mobility when relaxing mitigation measures in order to anticipate future changes in the spread of SARS-CoV-2. |
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AbstractList | Recent literature strongly supports the hypothesis that mobility restriction and social distancing play a crucial role in limiting the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). During the first wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, it was shown that mobility restriction reduced transmission significantly. This study found that, in the period between the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was high positive correlation between trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and mobility. These two trends oscillated simultaneously, and increased mobility following the relaxation of lockdown rules was significantly associated with increased transmission. From a public health perspective, these results highlight the importance of tracking changes in mobility when relaxing mitigation measures in order to anticipate future changes in the spread of SARS-CoV-2. •A strong relationship was found between transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 and mobility during the period between the first two waves of the coronavirus disease-2019 pandemic.•Trends in mobility and viral transmission evolved almost in parallel during this period.•Tracking changes in mobility patterns would help public health authorities to anticipate increases in transmission.•This result is important from a public health perspective when relaxing mitigation measures. Recent literature strongly supports the hypothesis that mobility restriction and social distancing play a crucial role in limiting the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). During the first wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, it was shown that mobility restriction reduced transmission significantly. This study found that, in the period between the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was high positive correlation between trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and mobility. These two trends oscillated simultaneously, and increased mobility following the relaxation of lockdown rules was significantly associated with increased transmission. From a public health perspective, these results highlight the importance of tracking changes in mobility when relaxing mitigation measures in order to anticipate future changes in the spread of SARS-CoV-2. |
Author | Champagne, Clara Nguyen-Van-Yen, Benjamin Cazelles, Bernard Roche, Benjamin Comiskey, Catherine |
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Cites_doi | 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008409 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003716 10.4414/smw.2020.20295 10.1126/science.abb4218 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30553-3 10.1186/s12879-021-06433-9 10.3201/eid2611.201099 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006211 10.1038/s41586-020-2923-3 |
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Keywords | Mobility SARS-Cov-2 Effective reproduction number Transmission |
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License | This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license. Copyright © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved. Attribution - NonCommercial - NoDerivatives: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
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Title | Parallel trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and retail/recreation and public transport mobility during non-lockdown periods |
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