Stochastic modelling of the effects of human-mobility restriction and viral infection characteristics on the spread of COVID-19

• Published in: Scientific reports Vol. 11; no. 1; pp. 6856 - 10
• Main Authors: Ando, Shiho, Matsuzawa, Yuki, Tsurui, Hiromichi, Mizutani, Tetsuya, Hall, Damien, Kuroda, Yutaka
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: London Nature Publishing Group UK 25.03.2021; Nature Publishing Group; Nature Portfolio
• Subjects: 631/114; 631/114/2397; Coronaviruses; COVID-19; COVID-19 - epidemiology; COVID-19 - prevention & control; COVID-19 - transmission; COVID-19 - virology; Disease Outbreaks - prevention & control; Disease transmission; Humanities and Social Sciences; Humans; Infections; Mobility; Models, Statistical; Movement; multidisciplinary; Pandemics; Population density; Quarantine; SARS-CoV-2 - isolation & purification; Science; Science (multidisciplinary); Stochastic models; Stochastic Processes; Viral infections

After several months of "lockdown" as the sole answer to the COVID-19 pandemic, balancing the re-opening of society against the implementation of non-pharmaceutical measures needed for minimizing interpersonal contacts has become important. Here, we present a stochastic model that examines...