Where Do We Go From Here? A Framework for Using Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered Models for Policy Making in Emerging Infectious Diseases

• Published in: Value in health Vol. 24; no. 7; pp. 917 - 924
• Main Authors: Zawadzki, Roy S., Gong, Cynthia L., Cho, Sang K., Schnitzer, Jan E., Zawadzki, Nadine K., Hay, Joel W., Drabo, Emmanuel F.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States Elsevier Inc 01.07.2021; Elsevier Science Ltd; ISPOR-The Professional Society for Health Economics and Outcomes Research. Published by Elsevier Inc
• Subjects: Averages; Checklists; Communicable Diseases, Emerging - drug therapy; Communicable Diseases, Emerging - prevention & control; Coronaviruses; cost benefit; Cost benefit analysis; COVID-19; Decision making; Disease Outbreaks - prevention & control; Disease Outbreaks - statistics & numerical data; Epidemic models; Epidemiologic Methods; Epidemiology; Flexibility; Forecasting - methods; health services research; Humans; Infectious diseases; Internal Medicine; Obsolescence; Pandemics; policy; Policy Making; Reference Standards; SIR modeling; Themed Section: COVID-19; Transparency; Usefulness; Validity; COVID-19; health services research; epidemiology; SIR modeling; policy; cost benefit

Throughout the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) modeling has been the preeminent modeling method to inform policy making worldwide. Nevertheless, the usefulness of such models has been subject to controversy. An evolution in the epidemiological modeling field...