Power law behaviour in the saturation regime of fatality curves of the COVID-19 pandemic

• Published in: Scientific reports Vol. 11; no. 1; pp. 4619 - 12
• Main Authors: Vasconcelos, Giovani L., Macêdo, Antônio M. S., Duarte-Filho, Gerson C., Brum, Arthur A., Ospina, Raydonal, Almeida, Francisco A. G.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: London Nature Publishing Group UK 25.02.2021; Nature Publishing Group; Nature Portfolio
• Subjects: 631/114/2409; 692/700/478; Algorithms; Coronaviruses; COVID-19; COVID-19 - epidemiology; COVID-19 - mortality; Europe - epidemiology; Fatalities; Growth models; Growth rate; Humanities and Social Sciences; Humans; multidisciplinary; North America - epidemiology; Pandemics; SARS-CoV-2 - isolation & purification; Science; Science (multidisciplinary); North America; Europe

We apply a versatile growth model, whose growth rate is given by a generalised beta distribution, to describe the complex behaviour of the fatality curves of the COVID-19 disease for several countries in Europe and North America. We show that the COVID-19 epidemic curves not only may present a subex...