Resilience indicators prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts

• Published in: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B. Biological sciences Vol. 370; no. 1659; pp. 1 - 10
• Main Authors: Dakos, Vasilis, Carpenter, Stephen R., van Nes, Egbert H., Scheffer, Marten
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Royal Society 05.01.2015; The Royal Society; Royal Society, The
• Subjects: Alternative Stable States; catastrophic shifts; Critical Slowing Down; Critical Transition; critical transitions; ecological-systems; empirical-evidence; Environmental Sciences; leading indicator; marine ecosystems; PART I: ADVANCES IN MARINE REGIME-SHIFT THEORY; Regime Shift; Resilience; Review; stochastic resonance; Tipping Point; trophic cascades

In the vicinity of tipping points—or more precisely bifurcation points—ecosystems recover slowly from small perturbations. Such slowness may be interpreted as a sign of low resilience in the sense that the ecosystem could easily be tipped through a critical transition into a contrasting state. Indic...