Observed allocations of productivity and biomass, and turnover times in tropical forests are not accurately represented in CMIP5 Earth system models
A significant fraction of anthropogenic CO2 emissions is assimilated by tropical forests and stored as biomass, slowing the accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. Because different plant tissues have different functional roles and turnover times, predictions of carbon balance of tropical forests dep...
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Published in | Environmental research letters Vol. 10; no. 6; pp. 64017 - 64025 |
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Main Authors | , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Bristol
IOP Publishing
01.06.2015
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Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
ISSN | 1748-9326 1748-9326 |
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064017 |
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Abstract | A significant fraction of anthropogenic CO2 emissions is assimilated by tropical forests and stored as biomass, slowing the accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. Because different plant tissues have different functional roles and turnover times, predictions of carbon balance of tropical forests depend on how earth system models (ESMs) represent the dynamic allocation of productivity to different tree compartments. This study shows that observed allocation of productivity, biomass, and turnover times of main tree compartments (leaves, wood, and roots) are not accurately represented in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 ESMs. In particular, observations indicate that biomass saturates with increasing productivity. In contrast, most models predict continuous increases in biomass with increases in productivity. This bias may lead to an over-prediction of carbon uptake in response to CO2 or climate-driven changes in productivity. Compartment-specific productivity and biomass are useful benchmarks to assess terrestrial ecosystem model performance. Improvements in the predicted allocation patterns and turnover times by ESMs will reduce uncertainties in climate predictions. |
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AbstractList | A significant fraction of anthropogenic CO2 emissions is assimilated by tropical forests and stored as biomass, slowing the accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. Because different plant tissues have different functional roles and turnover times, predictions of carbon balance of tropical forests depend on how earth system models (ESMs) represent the dynamic allocation of productivity to different tree compartments. This study shows that observed allocation of productivity, biomass, and turnover times of main tree compartments (leaves, wood, and roots) are not accurately represented in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 ESMs. In particular, observations indicate that biomass saturates with increasing productivity. In contrast, most models predict continuous increases in biomass with increases in productivity. This bias may lead to an over-prediction of carbon uptake in response to CO2 or climate-driven changes in productivity. Compartment-specific productivity and biomass are useful benchmarks to assess terrestrial ecosystem model performance. Improvements in the predicted allocation patterns and turnover times by ESMs will reduce uncertainties in climate predictions. A significant fraction of anthropogenic CO sub(2) emissions is assimilated by tropical forests and stored as biomass, slowing the accumulation of CO sub(2) in the atmosphere. Because different plant tissues have different functional roles and turnover times, predictions of carbon balance of tropical forests depend on how earth system models (ESMs) represent the dynamic allocation of productivity to different tree compartments. This study shows that observed allocation of productivity, biomass, and turnover times of main tree compartments (leaves, wood, and roots) are not accurately represented in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 ESMs. In particular, observations indicate that biomass saturates with increasing productivity. In contrast, most models predict continuous increases in biomass with increases in productivity. This bias may lead to an over-prediction of carbon uptake in response to CO sub(2) or climate-driven changes in productivity. Compartment-specific productivity and biomass are useful benchmarks to assess terrestrial ecosystem model performance. Improvements in the predicted allocation patterns and turnover times by ESMs will reduce uncertainties in climate predictions. A significant fraction of anthropogenic CO _2 emissions is assimilated by tropical forests and stored as biomass, slowing the accumulation of CO _2 in the atmosphere. Because different plant tissues have different functional roles and turnover times, predictions of carbon balance of tropical forests depend on how earth system models (ESMs) represent the dynamic allocation of productivity to different tree compartments. This study shows that observed allocation of productivity, biomass, and turnover times of main tree compartments (leaves, wood, and roots) are not accurately represented in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 ESMs. In particular, observations indicate that biomass saturates with increasing productivity. In contrast, most models predict continuous increases in biomass with increases in productivity. This bias may lead to an over-prediction of carbon uptake in response to CO _2 or climate-driven changes in productivity. Compartment-specific productivity and biomass are useful benchmarks to assess terrestrial ecosystem model performance. Improvements in the predicted allocation patterns and turnover times by ESMs will reduce uncertainties in climate predictions. |
Author | Knox, Ryan G Negrón-Juárez, Robinson I Riley, William J Chambers, Jeffrey Q Koven, Charles D |
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Snippet | A significant fraction of anthropogenic CO2 emissions is assimilated by tropical forests and stored as biomass, slowing the accumulation of CO2 in the... A significant fraction of anthropogenic CO sub(2) emissions is assimilated by tropical forests and stored as biomass, slowing the accumulation of CO sub(2) in... A significant fraction of anthropogenic CO _2 emissions is assimilated by tropical forests and stored as biomass, slowing the accumulation of CO _2 in the... |
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StartPage | 64017 |
SubjectTerms | Allocations Anthropogenic factors Atmospheric models Benchmarks Biomass biomass turnover time Carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide emissions Climate change Climate models Climate prediction Compartments earth system models Ecosystem models ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Forests Plant tissues Productivity tropical biomass Tropical forests tropical productivity |
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Title | Observed allocations of productivity and biomass, and turnover times in tropical forests are not accurately represented in CMIP5 Earth system models |
URI | https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064017 https://www.proquest.com/docview/2549709102 https://www.proquest.com/docview/1776655718 https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1222425 https://doaj.org/article/e879510d7d1f451c9fa9bbb4455f5a2b |
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