What causes the spread of model projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change in response to greenhouse gas forcing?

• Published in: Climate dynamics Vol. 56; no. 1-2; pp. 155 - 187
• Main Authors: Couldrey, Matthew P., Gregory, Jonathan M., Boeira Dias, Fabio, Dobrohotoff, Peter, Domingues, Catia M., Garuba, Oluwayemi, Griffies, Stephen M., Haak, Helmuth, Hu, Aixue, Ishii, Masayoshi, Jungclaus, Johann, Köhl, Armin, Marsland, Simon J., Ojha, Sayantani, Saenko, Oleg A., Savita, Abhishek, Shao, Andrew, Stammer, Detlef, Suzuki, Tatsuo, Todd, Alexander, Zanna, Laure
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Berlin/Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg 01.01.2021; Springer; Springer Nature B.V
• Subjects: Air-sea flux; Air-sea interaction; Antarctic region; Arctic circulation; Arctic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean; Atmospheric circulation; Atmospheric models; Climate change; Climate change research; Climate models; Climatic changes; Climatology; Earth and Environmental Science; Earth Sciences; Environmental aspects; Fluctuations; Forecasts and trends; Freshwater; General Circulation Models; Geophysics/Geodesy; Greenhouse gases; Heat; heat flow; Heat flux; Heat transfer; Inland water environment; Meteorological research; Momentum; Observations; Ocean dynamics; Ocean models; Ocean-atmosphere interaction; Oceanic general circulation model; Oceanography; Oceans; Perturbation; Sea level; Sea level changes; surface water temperature; Transport; Uptake; water flow; water salinity; wind; United Kingdom; Arctic region; Arctic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean; Antarctic region; Climate change; Climate modeling; Ocean heat uptake; Sea-level rise

Sea levels of different atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) respond to climate change forcing in different ways, representing a crucial uncertainty in climate change research. We isolate the role of the ocean dynamics in setting the spatial pattern of dynamic sea-level ( ζ ) change...