人工智能大模型发展带来的智能算力需求测算研究

以ChatGPT为代表的人工智能大模型的爆发带动智能算力需求快速增长，电信运营商、云服务商等纷纷加大智算中心布局，大模型的发展对智能算力有多大规模需求、对智算中心的布局与建设有着十分重要的影响。从大模型对智能算力的消耗特点出发，对影响大模型算力消耗的关键影响因素进行深入分析，并基于不同参数量级不同行业类型构建了分层次分阶段的大模型智能算力需求测算模型，对大模型对智能算力的需求进行系统分析，为智算中心的建设提供明确的业务输入与支撑。...

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Published in电信科学 Vol. 40; no. 10; pp. 144 - 151
Main Authors 李双杰, 杜春香, 肖子玉
Format Journal Article
LanguageChinese
Published 中国通信学会 20.10.2024
人民邮电出版社有限公司
中国移动通信集团设计院有限公司,北京 100080
Subjects
需求预测
大模型
智能算力
intelligent computing power
demand forecasting
AI large model
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN1000-0801
DOI10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2024215

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Abstract 以ChatGPT为代表的人工智能大模型的爆发带动智能算力需求快速增长，电信运营商、云服务商等纷纷加大智算中心布局，大模型的发展对智能算力有多大规模需求、对智算中心的布局与建设有着十分重要的影响。从大模型对智能算力的消耗特点出发，对影响大模型算力消耗的关键影响因素进行深入分析，并基于不同参数量级不同行业类型构建了分层次分阶段的大模型智能算力需求测算模型，对大模型对智能算力的需求进行系统分析，为智算中心的建设提供明确的业务输入与支撑。
AbstractList TP301; 以ChatGPT为代表的人工智能大模型的爆发带动智能算力需求快速增长,电信运营商、云服务商等纷纷加大智算中心布局,大模型的发展对智能算力有多大规模需求、对智算中心的布局与建设有着十分重要的影响.从大模型对智能算力的消耗特点出发,对影响大模型算力消耗的关键影响因素进行深入分析,并基于不同参数量级不同行业类型构建了分层次分阶段的大模型智能算力需求测算模型,对大模型对智能算力的需求进行系统分析,为智算中心的建设提供明确的业务输入与支撑.
以ChatGPT为代表的人工智能大模型的爆发带动智能算力需求快速增长，电信运营商、云服务商等纷纷加大智算中心布局，大模型的发展对智能算力有多大规模需求、对智算中心的布局与建设有着十分重要的影响。从大模型对智能算力的消耗特点出发，对影响大模型算力消耗的关键影响因素进行深入分析，并基于不同参数量级不同行业类型构建了分层次分阶段的大模型智能算力需求测算模型，对大模型对智能算力的需求进行系统分析，为智算中心的建设提供明确的业务输入与支撑。
Abstract_FL AI large models,represented by ChatGPT,have driven a rapid growth in intelligent computing power de-mand.Telecom operators and cloud service providers are increasingly expanding their intelligent computing center layouts.The future trends of large models and the scale of their computing power demand are of great importance for the layout and construction of intelligent computing centers.Starting from the consumption characteristics of comput-ing power by AI large models,the key influencing factors of computing power consumption were analyzed.Based on multi-level models with different parameter scales and industry types,the intelligent computing power demand of AI large models was systematically analyzed,providing clear business inputs and support for the construction of intelli-gent computing centers.
Author 杜春香
李双杰
肖子玉
AuthorAffiliation 中国移动通信集团设计院有限公司,北京 100080
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LI Shuangjie
DU Chunxiang
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中国移动通信集团设计院有限公司,北京 100080
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