Human Migration, Protected Areas, and Conservation Outreach in Tanzania
A recent discussion debates the extent of human in‐migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local popula...
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Published in | Conservation biology Vol. 28; no. 3; pp. 841 - 850 |
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Main Authors | , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Hoboken, NJ
Blackwell Science, Inc
01.06.2014
Blackwell Publishing Ltd Wiley Periodicals Inc Wiley-Blackwell |
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Abstract | A recent discussion debates the extent of human in‐migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local populations and that outreach initiatives even if successful present insufficient benefits to drive in‐migration. Using data from Tanzania, we examined merits of statistical tests and spatial methods used previously to evaluate migration near PAs and applied hierarchical modeling with appropriate controls for demographic and geographic factors to advance the debate. Areas bordering national parks in Tanzania did not have elevated rates of in‐migration. Low baseline population density and high vegetation productivity with low interannual variation rather than conservation outreach explained observed migration patterns. More generally we argue that to produce results of conservation policy significance, analyses must be conducted at appropriate scales, and we caution against use of demographic data without appropriate controls when drawing conclusions about migration dynamics. La Migración Humana, Áreas Protegidas y el Alcance de la Conservación en Tanzania |
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AbstractList | A recent discussion debates the extent of human in-migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local populations and that outreach initiatives even if successful present insufficient benefits to drive in-migration. Using data from Tanzania, we examined merits of statistical tests and spatial methods used previously to evaluate migration near PAs and applied hierarchical modeling with appropriate controls for demographic and geographic factors to advance the debate. Areas bordering national parks in Tanzania did not have elevated rates of in-migration. Low baseline population density and high vegetation productivity with low interannual variation rather than conservation outreach explained observed migration patterns. More generally we argue that to produce results of conservation policy significance, analyses must be conducted at appropriate scales, and we caution against use of demographic data without appropriate controls when drawing conclusions about migration dynamics. A recent discussion debates the extent of human in‐migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local populations and that outreach initiatives even if successful present insufficient benefits to drive in‐migration. Using data from Tanzania, we examined merits of statistical tests and spatial methods used previously to evaluate migration near PAs and applied hierarchical modeling with appropriate controls for demographic and geographic factors to advance the debate. Areas bordering national parks in Tanzania did not have elevated rates of in‐migration. Low baseline population density and high vegetation productivity with low interannual variation rather than conservation outreach explained observed migration patterns. More generally we argue that to produce results of conservation policy significance, analyses must be conducted at appropriate scales, and we caution against use of demographic data without appropriate controls when drawing conclusions about migration dynamics. La Migración Humana, Áreas Protegidas y el Alcance de la Conservación en Tanzania Una discusión reciente debate la extensión de la inmigración humana en áreas protegidas en los trópicos. Un argumento propuesto es que los migrantes rurales se mudan a áreas fronterizas para acceder a los beneficios del alcance de la conservación. Una contrapropuesta mantiene que las áreas protegidas tienen un efecto negativo mayor sobre las poblaciones locales y que las iniciativas de alcance, aunque sean exitosas, presentan beneficios insuficientes para conducir la inmigración. Usando datos de Tanzania, examinamos los méritos de pruebas estadísticas y métodos espaciales usados previamente para evaluar la migración cerca de áreas protegidas y aplicamos un modelo jerárquico con controles apropiados para los factores demográficos y geográficos para avanzar el debate. Las áreas fronterizas en los parques nacionales en Tanzania no tuvieron tasas elevadas de inmigración. La baja densidad de población base y la alta productividad de vegetación con variación interanual baja más que explicar el alcance de la conservación, explicaron los patrones de migración. Más generalizado, discutimos que para producir resultados significativos de política de conservación, los análisis se deben hacer en escalas apropiadas y advertimos sobre el uso de datos demográficos sin un control apropiado al concluir sobre las dinámicas de migración. A recent discussion debates the extent of human in-migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local populations and that outreach initiatives even if successful present insufficient benefits to drive in-migration. Using data from Tanzania, we examined merits of statistical tests and spatial methods used previously to evaluate migration near PAs and applied hierarchical modeling with appropriate controls for demographic and geographic factors to advance the debate. Areas bordering national parks in Tanzania did not have elevated rates of in-migration. Low baseline population density and high vegetation productivity with low interannual variation rather than conservation outreach explained observed migration patterns. More generally we argue that to produce results of conservation policy significance, analyses must be conducted at appropriate scales, and we caution against use of demographic data without appropriate controls when drawing conclusions about migration dynamics.Original Abstract: La Migracion Humana, Areas Protegidas y el Alcance de la Conservacion en Tanzania Una discusion reciente debate la extension de la inmigracion humana en areas protegidas en los tropicos. Un argumento propuesto es que los migrantes rurales se mudan a areas fronterizas para acceder a los beneficios del alcance de la conservacion. Una contrapropuesta mantiene que las areas protegidas tienen un efecto negativo mayor sobre las poblaciones locales y que las iniciativas de alcance, aunque sean exitosas, presentan beneficios insuficientes para conducir la inmigracion. Usando datos de Tanzania, examinamos los meritos de pruebas estadisticas y metodos espaciales usados previamente para evaluar la migracion cerca de areas protegidas y aplicamos un modelo jerarquico con controles apropiados para los factores demograficos y geograficos para avanzar el debate. Las areas fronterizas en los parques nacionales en Tanzania no tuvieron tasas elevadas de inmigracion. La baja densidad de poblacion base y la alta productividad de vegetacion con variacion interanual baja mas que explicar el alcance de la conservacion, explicaron los patrones de migracion. Mas generalizado, discutimos que para producir resultados significativos de politica de conservacion, los analisis se deben hacer en escalas apropiadas y advertimos sobre el uso de datos demograficos sin un control apropiado al concluir sobre las dinamicas de migracion. A recent discussion debates the extent of human in‐migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local populations and that outreach initiatives even if successful present insufficient benefits to drive in‐migration. Using data from Tanzania, we examined merits of statistical tests and spatial methods used previously to evaluate migration near PAs and applied hierarchical modeling with appropriate controls for demographic and geographic factors to advance the debate. Areas bordering national parks in Tanzania did not have elevated rates of in‐migration. Low baseline population density and high vegetation productivity with low interannual variation rather than conservation outreach explained observed migration patterns. More generally we argue that to produce results of conservation policy significance, analyses must be conducted at appropriate scales, and we caution against use of demographic data without appropriate controls when drawing conclusions about migration dynamics. La Migración Humana, Áreas Protegidas y el Alcance de la Conservación en Tanzania Resumen Una discusión reciente debate la extensión de la inmigración humana en áreas protegidas en los trópicos. Un argumento propuesto es que los migrantes rurales se mudan a áreas fronterizas para acceder a los beneficios del alcance de la conservación. Una contrapropuesta mantiene que las áreas protegidas tienen un efecto negativo mayor sobre las poblaciones locales y que las iniciativas de alcance, aunque sean exitosas, presentan beneficios insuficientes para conducir la inmigración. Usando datos de Tanzania, examinamos los méritos de pruebas estadísticas y métodos espaciales usados previamente para evaluar la migración cerca de áreas protegidas y aplicamos un modelo jerárquico con controles apropiados para los factores demográficos y geográficos para avanzar el debate. Las áreas fronterizas en los parques nacionales en Tanzania no tuvieron tasas elevadas de inmigración. La baja densidad de población base y la alta productividad de vegetación con variación interanual baja más que explicar el alcance de la conservación, explicaron los patrones de migración. Más generalizado, discutimos que para producir resultados significativos de política de conservación, los análisis se deben hacer en escalas apropiadas y advertimos sobre el uso de datos demográficos sin un control apropiado al concluir sobre las dinámicas de migración. A recent discussion debates the extent of human in-migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local populations and that outreach initiatives even if successful present insufficient benefits to drive in-migration. Using data from Tanzania, we examined merits of statistical tests and spatial methods used previously to evaluate migration near PAs and applied hierarchical modeling with appropriate controls for demographic and geographic factors to advance the debate. Areas bordering national parks in Tanzania did not have elevated rates of in-migration. Low baseline population density and high vegetation productivity with low interannual variation rather than conservation outreach explained observed migration patterns. More generally we argue that to produce results of conservation policy significance, analyses must be conducted at appropriate scales, and we caution against use of demographic data without appropriate controls when drawing conclusions about migration dynamics. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT] A recent discussion debates the extent of human in-migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local populations and that outreach initiatives even if successful present insufficient benefits to drive in-migration. Using data from Tanzania, we examined merits of statistical tests and spatial methods used previously to evaluate migration near PAs and applied hierarchical modeling with appropriate controls for demographic and geographic factors to advance the debate. Areas bordering national parks in Tanzania did not have elevated rates of inmigration. Low baseline population density and high vegetation productivity with low interannual variation rather than conservation outreach explained observed migration patterns. More generally we argue that to produce results of conservation policy significance, analyses must be conducted at appropriate scales, and we caution against use of demographic data without appropriate controls when drawing conclusions about migration dynamics. Una discusión reciente debate la extensión de la inmigración humana en áreas protegidas en los trópicos. Un argumento propuesto es que los migrantes rurales se mudan a áreas fronterizas para acceder a los beneficios del alcance de la conservación. Una contrapropuesta mantiene que las áreas protegidas tienen un efecto negativo mayor sobre las poblaciones locales y que las iniciativas de alcance, aunque sean exitosas, presentan beneficios insuficientes para conducir la inmigración. Usando datos de Tanzania, examinamos los méritos de pruebas estadísticas y métodos espaciales usados previamente para evaluar la migración cerca de áreas protegidas y aplicamos un modelo jerárquico con controles apropiados para los factores demográficos y geográficos para avanzar el debate. Las áreas fronterizas en los parques nacionales en Tanzania no tuvieron tasas elevadas de inmigración. La baja densidad de población base y la alta productividad de vegetación con variación interanual baja más que explicar el alcance de la conservación, explicaron los patrones de migración. Más generalizado, discutimos que para producir resultados significativos de política de conservación, los análisis se deben hacer en escalas apropiadas y advertimos sobre el uso de datos demográficos sin un control apropiado al concluir sobre las dinámicas de migración. A recent discussion debates the extent of human in‐migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to bordering areas to access conservation outreach benefits. A counter proposal maintains that PAs have largely negative effects on local populations and that outreach initiatives even if successful present insufficient benefits to drive in‐migration. Using data from Tanzania, we examined merits of statistical tests and spatial methods used previously to evaluate migration near PAs and applied hierarchical modeling with appropriate controls for demographic and geographic factors to advance the debate. Areas bordering national parks in Tanzania did not have elevated rates of in‐migration. Low baseline population density and high vegetation productivity with low interannual variation rather than conservation outreach explained observed migration patterns. More generally we argue that to produce results of conservation policy significance, analyses must be conducted at appropriate scales, and we caution against use of demographic data without appropriate controls when drawing conclusions about migration dynamics. La Migración Humana, Áreas Protegidas y el Alcance de la Conservación en Tanzania |
Author | MULDER, MONIQUE BORGERHOFF SALERNO, JONATHAN D. KEFAUVER, SHAWN C. |
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Keywords | Human rural migrants Population growth Rural environment Tropical zone Migration Conservation Protected area National park Migratory community-based conservation Community East Africa Environmental protection national parks África Oriental parques nacionales crecimiento de la población migrantes rurales conservación basada en la comunidad population growth |
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Snippet | A recent discussion debates the extent of human in‐migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to... A recent discussion debates the extent of human in-migration around protected areas (PAs) in the tropics. One proposed argument is that rural migrants move to... |
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Title | Human Migration, Protected Areas, and Conservation Outreach in Tanzania |
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