Does flower phenology mirror the slowdown of global warming?

• Published in: Ecology and evolution Vol. 5; no. 11; pp. 2284 - 2295
• Main Authors: Jochner, Susanne, Menzel, Annette
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: England John Wiley & Sons, Inc 01.06.2015; BlackWell Publishing Ltd
• Subjects: Air temperature; Annual variations; Bayesian analysis; Bayesian statistics; Climate change; Flowering; Fruit trees; Global temperatures; Global warming; Mathematical models; multiple change‐point model; Original Research; Phenology; Precipitation; Spring (season); Statistical methods; Temperature effects; Temperature requirements; Time series; Trees; trend; Trends; Germany; multiple change-point model; flowering; Bayesian statistics; trend; phenology; climate change

Although recent global warming trends in air temperature are not as pronounced as those observed only one decade ago, global mean temperature is still at a very high level. Does plant phenology – which is believed to be a suitable indicator of climate change – respond in a similar way, that is, does...