Drivers and uncertainties of future global marine primary production in marine ecosystem models

• Published in: Biogeosciences Vol. 12; no. 23; pp. 6955 - 6984
• Main Authors: Laufkötter, C., Vogt, M., Gruber, N., Aita-Noguchi, M., Aumont, O., Bopp, L., Buitenhuis, E., Doney, S. C., Dunne, J., Hashioka, T., Hauck, J., Hirata, T., John, J., Le Quéré, C., Lima, I. D., Nakano, H., Seferian, R., Totterdell, I., Vichi, M., Völker, C.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Katlenburg-Lindau Copernicus GmbH 07.12.2015; European Geosciences Union; Copernicus Publications
• Subjects: Analysis; Climate change; Climate models; Computer simulation; Continental interfaces, environment; Ecosystem models; Embedded systems; Environment models; Environmental aspects; Grazing; Growth rate; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Marine ecosystems; Microorganisms; Mineral nutrients; Motor vehicle drivers; Net Primary Productivity; Nutrient loss; Ocean circulation; Ocean models; Ocean, Atmosphere; Phytoplankton; Plankton; Primary production; Sciences of the Universe; Stratification; Temperature; Trends; Uncertainty

Past model studies have projected a global decrease in marine net primary production (NPP) over the 21st century, but these studies focused on the multi-model mean rather than on the large inter-model differences. Here, we analyze model-simulated changes in NPP for the 21st century under IPCC's...