Plausibility of a third wave of COVID-19 in India: A mathematical modelling based analysis

• Published in: Indian journal of medical research (New Delhi, India : 1994) Vol. 153; no. 5; pp. 522 - 532
• Main Authors: Mandal, Sandip, Arinaminpathy, Nimalan, Bhargava, Balram, Panda, Samiran
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: India Wolters Kluwer India Pvt. Ltd 01.05.2021; Medknow Publications and Media Pvt. Ltd; Scientific Scholar; Wolters Kluwer - Medknow
• Subjects: Analysis; Casualties; Communicable Disease Control; Control; Coronaviruses; COVID-19; COVID-19 vaccines; Disease transmission; Epidemics; Forecasts and trends; Humans; India; Infection control; Mathematical models; Methods; Models, Theoretical; Original; SARS-CoV-2; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; Vaccination; India; COVID-19; variant; mathematical modelling –resurgence –SARS-CoV-2; transmission; third wave

Background & objectives: In the context of India's ongoing resurgence of COVID-19 (second wave since mid-February 2021, following the subsiding of the first wave in September 2020), there has been increasing speculation on the possibility of a future third wave of infection, posing a burden...