Lifetime and Age-Conditional Probabilities of Developing or Dying of Cancer in Japan

The concepts of lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer are introduced as indexes to understand the risk of cancer. In this paper, we estimated the lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer in 2001 and 2005, respectively, in Jap...

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Published inJapanese journal of clinical oncology Vol. 38; no. 8; pp. 571 - 576
Main Authors Kamo, Ken-ichi, Katanoda, Kota, Matsuda, Tomohiro, Marugame, Tomomi, Ajiki, Wakiko, Sobue, Tomotaka
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published England Oxford University Press 01.08.2008
Oxford Publishing Limited (England)
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Abstract The concepts of lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer are introduced as indexes to understand the risk of cancer. In this paper, we estimated the lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer in 2001 and 2005, respectively, in Japan. It is estimated that one in two Japanese males and one in three females will develop cancer, and one in four Japanese males and one in six females will die of cancer. Moreover, the probabilities of developing cancer within specific decades of age are obtained as the short-term risks.
AbstractList The concepts of lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer are introduced as indexes to understand the risk of cancer. In this paper, we estimated the lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer in 2001 and 2005, respectively, in Japan. It is estimated that one in two Japanese males and one in three females will develop cancer, and one in four Japanese males and one in six females will die of cancer. Moreover, the probabilities of developing cancer within specific decades of age are obtained as the short-term risks. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
The concepts of lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer are introduced as indexes to understand the risk of cancer. In this paper, we estimated the lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer in 2001 and 2005, respectively, in Japan. It is estimated that one in two Japanese males and one in three females will develop cancer, and one in four Japanese males and one in six females will die of cancer. Moreover, the probabilities of developing cancer within specific decades of age are obtained as the short-term risks.
Author Ajiki, Wakiko
Katanoda, Kota
Sobue, Tomotaka
Marugame, Tomomi
Kamo, Ken-ichi
Matsuda, Tomohiro
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  email: kamo@sapmed.ac.jp, For reprints and all correspondence: Ken-ichi Kamo, Division of Mathematics, School of Medicine Liberal Arts and Sciences, Sapporo Medical University, S1 W16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo 060-8543, Japan. kamo@sapmed.ac.jp
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  givenname: Tomomi
  surname: Marugame
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Cites_doi 10.1023/A:1009685507602
10.3322/canjclin.57.1.43
10.1093/jjco/hym112
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Keywords age-conditional probability
dying of cancer
lifetime probability
developing cancer
life table
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  publication-title: Lifetime data analysis
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SubjectTerms Adolescent
Adult
Age Distribution
age-conditional probability
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Child
developing cancer
dying of cancer
Female
Humans
Japan - epidemiology
life table
Life Tables
lifetime probability
Male
Middle Aged
Neoplasms - mortality
Probability
Risk Factors
Survival Rate
Time Factors
Title Lifetime and Age-Conditional Probabilities of Developing or Dying of Cancer in Japan
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