Will predicted positive effects of climate change be enough to reverse declines of the regionally Endangered Natterjack toad in Ireland?

• Published in: Ecology and evolution Vol. 11; no. 10; pp. 5049 - 5064
• Main Authors: Reyne, Marina, McGowan, Natasha E., Flanagan, Jason, Nolan, Paul, Aubry, Aurélie, Emmerson, Mark, Marnell, Ferdia, Reid, Neil
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: England John Wiley & Sons, Inc 01.05.2021; John Wiley and Sons Inc; Wiley
• Subjects: 21st century; amphibia; bioclim; Bioclimatology; Biometeorology; Climate change; Climate effects; Climate models; Climate prediction; Coastal erosion; Contamination; Contraction; Emissions; Endangered & extinct species; Epidalea calamita; Extinction; Fecundity; Geographical distribution; GLMM; Greenhouse gases; Habitat loss; Habitats; Invertebrates; Land use; Maxent; Niches; Original Research; Phenology; Population; Population decline; Precipitation; Prey; Rainfall; range expansion; Reproductive behavior; SDM; Sea level rise; Spawning; Species; species distribution model; Spring; Spring (season); Toads; Variables; Wildlife conservation; Poland; Ireland; Europe; spawning; range expansion; Maxent; GLMM; amphibia; Epidalea calamita; species distribution model; SDM; bioclim; fecundity

The global amphibian crisis is driven by a range of stressors including disease, habitat loss, and environmental contamination. The role of climate change remains poorly studied and is likely to influence environmental suitability, ranges, reproduction, and phenology. This study aimed to characteriz...