Combined impact of prediabetes and fatty liver index on cardiometabolic outcomes and mortality in middle aged adults: a nationwide cohort study

Background To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in middle-aged adults. Methods A nationwide cohort study was conducted involving 1,182,751 middle-aged adults aged 40 to 65 years, a...

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Published inCardiovascular diabetology Vol. 24; no. 1; pp. 279 - 11
Main Authors Lyu, Young Sang, Park, Minae, Kim, Hee Kyung, Park, Sojeong, Park, Ji Yong, Hong, A Ram, Yoon, Jee Hee, Jeong, Seogsong, Yoon, Youngmin, Kim, Jin Hwa, Kim, Sang Yong, Kang, Ho-Cheol, Choi, Wonsuk
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London BioMed Central 10.07.2025
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ISSN1475-2840
1475-2840
DOI10.1186/s12933-025-02793-7

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Abstract Background To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in middle-aged adults. Methods A nationwide cohort study was conducted involving 1,182,751 middle-aged adults aged 40 to 65 years, all of whom had no history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The primary outcomes of our study included incident DM, composite MACE and all-cause mortality. Results Among the participants, 24.6% were diagnosed with prediabetes, while 8.8% had FLI ≥ 60 at baseline. Both conditions independently increased the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality. Stratification based on the presence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60 showed that their combination posed the highest risk for outcomes, even after adjusting for relevant covariates. For incident DM, the odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were as follows: 3.75 (3.69–3.81), 2.35 (2.29–2.42), and 6.80 (6.62–6.98) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For composite MACE, the ORs (95% CI) were 1.02 (1.00–1.05), 1.23 (1.17–1.28), and 1.27 (1.21–1.33) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For all-cause mortality, ORs (95% CI) were 1.12 (1.08–1.15), 1.51 (1.43–1.59), and 1.69 (1.60–1.79) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. Conclusion The coexistence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60, which is a surrogate marker of hepatic steatosis, demonstrated a combined effect, additively increasing the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality in middle-aged adults. Trial registration Not applicable (retrospectively registered). Graphical abstract
AbstractList To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in middle-aged adults. A nationwide cohort study was conducted involving 1,182,751 middle-aged adults aged 40 to 65 years, all of whom had no history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The primary outcomes of our study included incident DM, composite MACE and all-cause mortality. Among the participants, 24.6% were diagnosed with prediabetes, while 8.8% had FLI ≥ 60 at baseline. Both conditions independently increased the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality. Stratification based on the presence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60 showed that their combination posed the highest risk for outcomes, even after adjusting for relevant covariates. For incident DM, the odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were as follows: 3.75 (3.69-3.81), 2.35 (2.29-2.42), and 6.80 (6.62-6.98) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For composite MACE, the ORs (95% CI) were 1.02 (1.00-1.05), 1.23 (1.17-1.28), and 1.27 (1.21-1.33) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For all-cause mortality, ORs (95% CI) were 1.12 (1.08-1.15), 1.51 (1.43-1.59), and 1.69 (1.60-1.79) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. The coexistence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60, which is a surrogate marker of hepatic steatosis, demonstrated a combined effect, additively increasing the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality in middle-aged adults. Not applicable (retrospectively registered).
BackgroundTo investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in middle-aged adults.MethodsA nationwide cohort study was conducted involving 1,182,751 middle-aged adults aged 40 to 65 years, all of whom had no history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The primary outcomes of our study included incident DM, composite MACE and all-cause mortality.ResultsAmong the participants, 24.6% were diagnosed with prediabetes, while 8.8% had FLI ≥ 60 at baseline. Both conditions independently increased the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality. Stratification based on the presence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60 showed that their combination posed the highest risk for outcomes, even after adjusting for relevant covariates. For incident DM, the odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were as follows: 3.75 (3.69–3.81), 2.35 (2.29–2.42), and 6.80 (6.62–6.98) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For composite MACE, the ORs (95% CI) were 1.02 (1.00–1.05), 1.23 (1.17–1.28), and 1.27 (1.21–1.33) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For all-cause mortality, ORs (95% CI) were 1.12 (1.08–1.15), 1.51 (1.43–1.59), and 1.69 (1.60–1.79) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively.ConclusionThe coexistence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60, which is a surrogate marker of hepatic steatosis, demonstrated a combined effect, additively increasing the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality in middle-aged adults.Trial registrationNot applicable (retrospectively registered).
Abstract Background To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in middle-aged adults. Methods A nationwide cohort study was conducted involving 1,182,751 middle-aged adults aged 40 to 65 years, all of whom had no history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The primary outcomes of our study included incident DM, composite MACE and all-cause mortality. Results Among the participants, 24.6% were diagnosed with prediabetes, while 8.8% had FLI ≥ 60 at baseline. Both conditions independently increased the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality. Stratification based on the presence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60 showed that their combination posed the highest risk for outcomes, even after adjusting for relevant covariates. For incident DM, the odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were as follows: 3.75 (3.69–3.81), 2.35 (2.29–2.42), and 6.80 (6.62–6.98) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For composite MACE, the ORs (95% CI) were 1.02 (1.00–1.05), 1.23 (1.17–1.28), and 1.27 (1.21–1.33) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For all-cause mortality, ORs (95% CI) were 1.12 (1.08–1.15), 1.51 (1.43–1.59), and 1.69 (1.60–1.79) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. Conclusion The coexistence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60, which is a surrogate marker of hepatic steatosis, demonstrated a combined effect, additively increasing the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality in middle-aged adults. Trial registration Not applicable (retrospectively registered). Graphical abstract
Background To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in middle-aged adults. Methods A nationwide cohort study was conducted involving 1,182,751 middle-aged adults aged 40 to 65 years, all of whom had no history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The primary outcomes of our study included incident DM, composite MACE and all-cause mortality. Results Among the participants, 24.6% were diagnosed with prediabetes, while 8.8% had FLI ≥ 60 at baseline. Both conditions independently increased the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality. Stratification based on the presence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60 showed that their combination posed the highest risk for outcomes, even after adjusting for relevant covariates. For incident DM, the odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were as follows: 3.75 (3.69–3.81), 2.35 (2.29–2.42), and 6.80 (6.62–6.98) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For composite MACE, the ORs (95% CI) were 1.02 (1.00–1.05), 1.23 (1.17–1.28), and 1.27 (1.21–1.33) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For all-cause mortality, ORs (95% CI) were 1.12 (1.08–1.15), 1.51 (1.43–1.59), and 1.69 (1.60–1.79) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. Conclusion The coexistence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60, which is a surrogate marker of hepatic steatosis, demonstrated a combined effect, additively increasing the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality in middle-aged adults. Trial registration Not applicable (retrospectively registered). Graphical abstract
To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in middle-aged adults.BACKGROUNDTo investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in middle-aged adults.A nationwide cohort study was conducted involving 1,182,751 middle-aged adults aged 40 to 65 years, all of whom had no history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The primary outcomes of our study included incident DM, composite MACE and all-cause mortality.METHODSA nationwide cohort study was conducted involving 1,182,751 middle-aged adults aged 40 to 65 years, all of whom had no history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The primary outcomes of our study included incident DM, composite MACE and all-cause mortality.Among the participants, 24.6% were diagnosed with prediabetes, while 8.8% had FLI ≥ 60 at baseline. Both conditions independently increased the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality. Stratification based on the presence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60 showed that their combination posed the highest risk for outcomes, even after adjusting for relevant covariates. For incident DM, the odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were as follows: 3.75 (3.69-3.81), 2.35 (2.29-2.42), and 6.80 (6.62-6.98) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For composite MACE, the ORs (95% CI) were 1.02 (1.00-1.05), 1.23 (1.17-1.28), and 1.27 (1.21-1.33) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For all-cause mortality, ORs (95% CI) were 1.12 (1.08-1.15), 1.51 (1.43-1.59), and 1.69 (1.60-1.79) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively.RESULTSAmong the participants, 24.6% were diagnosed with prediabetes, while 8.8% had FLI ≥ 60 at baseline. Both conditions independently increased the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality. Stratification based on the presence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60 showed that their combination posed the highest risk for outcomes, even after adjusting for relevant covariates. For incident DM, the odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were as follows: 3.75 (3.69-3.81), 2.35 (2.29-2.42), and 6.80 (6.62-6.98) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For composite MACE, the ORs (95% CI) were 1.02 (1.00-1.05), 1.23 (1.17-1.28), and 1.27 (1.21-1.33) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively. For all-cause mortality, ORs (95% CI) were 1.12 (1.08-1.15), 1.51 (1.43-1.59), and 1.69 (1.60-1.79) for prediabetes with FLI < 60, normoglycemia with FLI ≥ 60, and prediabetes with FLI ≥ 60, respectively.The coexistence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60, which is a surrogate marker of hepatic steatosis, demonstrated a combined effect, additively increasing the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality in middle-aged adults.CONCLUSIONThe coexistence of prediabetes and FLI ≥ 60, which is a surrogate marker of hepatic steatosis, demonstrated a combined effect, additively increasing the risk of incident DM, composite MACE, and all-cause mortality in middle-aged adults.Not applicable (retrospectively registered).TRIAL REGISTRATIONNot applicable (retrospectively registered).
ArticleNumber 279
Author Kim, Jin Hwa
Kang, Ho-Cheol
Jeong, Seogsong
Park, Minae
Yoon, Youngmin
Park, Ji Yong
Kim, Sang Yong
Yoon, Jee Hee
Hong, A Ram
Choi, Wonsuk
Lyu, Young Sang
Park, Sojeong
Kim, Hee Kyung
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Issue 1
Keywords Cardiometabolic disease
Hepatic steatosis
Prediabetes
Cohort study
Middle-aged adult
Language English
License 2025. The Author(s).
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PublicationTitle Cardiovascular diabetology
PublicationTitleAbbrev Cardiovasc Diabetol
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PublicationYear 2025
Publisher BioMed Central
BMC
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Snippet Background To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and...
To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in...
BackgroundTo investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and...
Abstract Background To investigate the combined effect of prediabetes and fatty liver index on incident diabetes (DM), major adverse cardiovascular events...
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SubjectTerms Adult
Age Factors
Aged
Angiology
Biomarkers - blood
Body mass index
Cardiology
Cardiometabolic disease
Cardiometabolic Risk Factors
Cardiovascular diseases
Cardiovascular Diseases - diagnosis
Cardiovascular Diseases - epidemiology
Cardiovascular Diseases - mortality
Cause of Death
Cohort study
Diabetes
Diabetes mellitus
Diabetes Mellitus - diagnosis
Diabetes Mellitus - epidemiology
Diabetes Mellitus - mortality
Exercise
Fatty liver
Female
Hepatic steatosis
Humans
Incidence
Kidney diseases
Male
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Middle Aged
Middle-aged adult
Mortality
Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease - diagnosis
Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease - mortality
Prediabetes
Prediabetic State - blood
Prediabetic State - diagnosis
Prediabetic State - epidemiology
Prediabetic State - mortality
Prognosis
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Steatosis
Time Factors
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Title Combined impact of prediabetes and fatty liver index on cardiometabolic outcomes and mortality in middle aged adults: a nationwide cohort study
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