Regional vegetation dynamics and its response to climate change-a case study in the Tao River Basin in Northwestern China
The 30-year normalized-difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series from AVHRR MODIS satellite sensors was used in this study to assess the regional vegetation dynamic changes in the Tao River Basin, which cuts across the Eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP) and the Southwestern Loess Plateau (SLP). Firs...
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Published in | Environmental research letters Vol. 9; no. 12; pp. 125003 - 125014 |
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Abstract | The 30-year normalized-difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series from AVHRR MODIS satellite sensors was used in this study to assess the regional vegetation dynamic changes in the Tao River Basin, which cuts across the Eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP) and the Southwestern Loess Plateau (SLP). First, principal component and correlation analyses were carried out to determine the key climatic variables driving ecological change in the region. Then, regression models were tested to correlate NDVI with the selected climatic variables to determine their predictive power. Finally, Sen's slope method was used to determine how terrestrial vegetation has responded to regional climate change in the region. The results indicated an average winter season NDVI value of 0.14 in the ETP but only 0.04 in the SLP. Primarily driven by increasing temperature, vegetation growth has generally been enhanced since 1981; spring NDVI increased by 0.03 every 10 years in the ETP and 0.02 in the SLP. Further, results from trend analyses suggest vegetation growth in the ETP shifted to earlier-start and earlier-end dates, however in the SLP, the growing season has been extended with an earlier-start and later-end date. The precipitation threshold for vegetation germination, measured by the cumulative spring rainfall, was found to be 44 mm for both the ETP and SLP. |
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AbstractList | The 30-year normalized-difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series from AVHRR/MODIS satellite sensors was used in this study to assess the regional vegetation dynamic changes in the Tao River Basin, which cuts across the Eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP) and the Southwestern Loess Plateau (SLP). First, principal component and correlation analyses were carried out to determine the key climatic variables driving ecological change in the region. Then, regression models were tested to correlate NDVI with the selected climatic variables to determine their predictive power. Finally, Sen’s slope method was used to determine how terrestrial vegetation has responded to regional climate change in the region. The results indicated an average winter season NDVI value of 0.14 in the ETP but only 0.04 in the SLP. Primarily driven by increasing temperature, vegetation growth has generally been enhanced since 1981; spring NDVI increased by 0.03 every 10 years in the ETP and 0.02 in the SLP. Further, results from trend analyses suggest vegetation growth in the ETP shifted to earlier-start and earlier-end dates, however in the SLP, the growing season has been extended with an earlier-start and later-end date. The precipitation threshold for vegetation germination, measured by the cumulative spring rainfall, was found to be 44 mm for both the ETP and SLP. |
Author | Li, Changbin Zhu, Gaofeng Yang, Wenjin Zou, Songbing Wang, Shuaibing Qi, Jiaguo Yang, Linshan Zhang, Feng |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Changbin surname: Li fullname: Li, Changbin email: licb@lzu.edu.cn organization: Michigan State University Center for Global Change and Earth Observations, East Lansing, MI 48823, USA – sequence: 2 givenname: Jiaguo surname: Qi fullname: Qi, Jiaguo organization: Michigan State University Center for Global Change and Earth Observations, East Lansing, MI 48823, USA – sequence: 3 givenname: Linshan surname: Yang fullname: Yang, Linshan organization: Lanzhou University Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China – sequence: 4 givenname: Shuaibing surname: Wang fullname: Wang, Shuaibing organization: Lanzhou University Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China – sequence: 5 givenname: Wenjin surname: Yang fullname: Yang, Wenjin organization: Lanzhou University Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China – sequence: 6 givenname: Gaofeng surname: Zhu fullname: Zhu, Gaofeng organization: Lanzhou University Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China – sequence: 7 givenname: Songbing surname: Zou fullname: Zou, Songbing organization: Cold and Arid Regions Environment and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China – sequence: 8 givenname: Feng surname: Zhang fullname: Zhang, Feng organization: Lanzhou University Key Laboratory of Arid and Grassland Agro-Ecology (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China |
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Snippet | The 30-year normalized-difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series from AVHRR MODIS satellite sensors was used in this study to assess the regional... The 30-year normalized-difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series from AVHRR/MODIS satellite sensors was used in this study to assess the regional... |
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StartPage | 125003 |
SubjectTerms | Climate change Correlation analysis Germination Growing season Normalized difference vegetative index Rainfall Regional analysis Regression analysis Regression models remote sensing River basins Rivers Spring Spring (season) Tao River Basin Vegetation vegetation dynamics Vegetation growth |
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Title | Regional vegetation dynamics and its response to climate change-a case study in the Tao River Basin in Northwestern China |
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