Linking residential electricity consumption and outdoor climate in a tropical city

• Published in: Energy (Oxford) Vol. 157; pp. 734 - 743
• Main Author: Li, Xian-Xiang
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Oxford Elsevier Ltd 15.08.2018; Elsevier BV
• Subjects: Building energy consumption; cities; climate; Climate change; Electric appliances; electric energy consumption; Electricity; Electricity consumption; Electricity energy; energy; Energy conservation; Energy consumption; Global climate; Household appliances; Households; Multiple regression analysis; ownership; Regression analysis; Residential energy; Singapore; temperature; Singapore; Climate change; Electricity energy; Regression analysis; Building energy consumption
• ISSN: 0360-5442; 1873-6785
• DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.05.192

The link between climate and energy consumption has been widely established in many cities. The residential electricity consumption majorly for space conditioning is especially responsive to the outdoor climate. As a hot and humid tropical city, Singapore is expected to see increasing residential electricity consumption with global climate change. In this study, a multiple regression analysis is performed to relate the residential electricity consumption per capita and per household with outdoor climate during a 12-year period (2005–2016). The per-capita electricity consumption during 2008–2016 sees substantial decrease from that during 2005–2007, possibly due to the various energy saving measures taken by Singapore government. The different responses to outdoor climate variation in different household types are examined. It is found that generally dwellers in public households are more sensitive to outdoor climate variations, while private household occupants are not much affected by climate. Due to increasing ownership of electricity-consuming appliances in 1–2 Room and 3 Room public households, their electricity consumptions show a consistent increasing trend during the period studied. Under the worst scenario of projected future temperature increase, the per-capita and per-household electricity consumptions are projected to increase by 47% and 41%, respectively. •A multiple regression analysis is performed on residential electricity consumption.•The link between residential electricity consumption and climate is established.•Different households respond differently to climate variations.•Increasing appliance ownership can offset energy-conserving efforts.•Future increase of electricity consumption can be 47% under worst climate change scenario.