Predicting the progression of cervical precursor lesions by human papillomavirus genotyping: A prospective cohort study
Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Ja...
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Published in | International journal of cancer Vol. 128; no. 12; pp. 2898 - 2910 |
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Main Authors | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Hoboken
Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company
15.06.2011
Wiley-Blackwell |
Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
ISSN | 0020-7136 1097-0215 1097-0215 |
DOI | 10.1002/ijc.25630 |
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Abstract | Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1–2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow‐up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction‐based methodology. Over the period of follow‐up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42–1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37–2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low‐risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39–88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65–306); 31 (24.7, 2.51–243); 33 (20.3, 1.78–231); 35 (13.7, 0.75–251); 52 (11.6, 1.45–93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01–77.6); other high‐risk types (4.04, 0.47–34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high‐risk types; 1.7% for low‐risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type‐specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1–2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression. |
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AbstractList | Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1-2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow-up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction-based methodology. Over the period of follow-up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42-1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37-2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low-risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39-88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65-306); 31 (24.7, 2.51-243); 33 (20.3, 1.78-231); 35 (13.7, 0.75-251); 52 (11.6, 1.45-93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01-77.6); other high-risk types (4.04, 0.47-34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high-risk types; 1.7% for low-risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type-specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1-2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression.Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1-2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow-up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction-based methodology. Over the period of follow-up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42-1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37-2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low-risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39-88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65-306); 31 (24.7, 2.51-243); 33 (20.3, 1.78-231); 35 (13.7, 0.75-251); 52 (11.6, 1.45-93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01-77.6); other high-risk types (4.04, 0.47-34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high-risk types; 1.7% for low-risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type-specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1-2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression. Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1–2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow‐up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction‐based methodology. Over the period of follow‐up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42–1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37–2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low‐risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39–88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65–306); 31 (24.7, 2.51–243); 33 (20.3, 1.78–231); 35 (13.7, 0.75–251); 52 (11.6, 1.45–93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01–77.6); other high‐risk types (4.04, 0.47–34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high‐risk types; 1.7% for low‐risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type‐specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1–2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression. Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1-2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow-up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction-based methodology. Over the period of follow-up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42-1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37-2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low-risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39-88.3); 18 (14.,0.65-306); 31 (24.7, 2.51-243); 33 (20.3, 1.78-231); 35 (13.,0.75-251); 52 (11.6, 1.45-93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01-77.6); other high-risk types (4.0,0.47-34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high-risk types; 1.7% for low-risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type-specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1-2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression. Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1–2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow‐up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction‐based methodology. Over the period of follow‐up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42–1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37–2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 ( vs. women with low‐risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39–88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65–306); 31 (24.7, 2.51–243); 33 (20.3, 1.78–231); 35 (13.7, 0.75–251); 52 (11.6, 1.45–93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01–77.6); other high‐risk types (4.04, 0.47–34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high‐risk types; 1.7% for low‐risk types ( p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type‐specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1–2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression. |
Author | Oki, Akinori Kitagawa, Tomoyuki Iwasaka, Tsuyoshi Yoshikawa, Hiroyuki Furuta, Reiko Takatsuka, Naoyoshi Nagai, Yutaka Watanabe, Yoh Mitsuhashi, Akira Yasugi, Toshiharu Matsumoto, Koji Fujii, Takuma Hirai, Yasuo Yaegashi, Nobuo Maeda, Hiroo |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Koji surname: Matsumoto fullname: Matsumoto, Koji email: matsumok@mui.biglobe.ne.jp – sequence: 2 givenname: Akinori surname: Oki fullname: Oki, Akinori – sequence: 3 givenname: Reiko surname: Furuta fullname: Furuta, Reiko – sequence: 4 givenname: Hiroo surname: Maeda fullname: Maeda, Hiroo – sequence: 5 givenname: Toshiharu surname: Yasugi fullname: Yasugi, Toshiharu – sequence: 6 givenname: Naoyoshi surname: Takatsuka fullname: Takatsuka, Naoyoshi – sequence: 7 givenname: Akira surname: Mitsuhashi fullname: Mitsuhashi, Akira – sequence: 8 givenname: Takuma surname: Fujii fullname: Fujii, Takuma – sequence: 9 givenname: Yasuo surname: Hirai fullname: Hirai, Yasuo – sequence: 10 givenname: Tsuyoshi surname: Iwasaka fullname: Iwasaka, Tsuyoshi – sequence: 11 givenname: Nobuo surname: Yaegashi fullname: Yaegashi, Nobuo – sequence: 12 givenname: Yoh surname: Watanabe fullname: Watanabe, Yoh – sequence: 13 givenname: Yutaka surname: Nagai fullname: Nagai, Yutaka – sequence: 14 givenname: Tomoyuki surname: Kitagawa fullname: Kitagawa, Tomoyuki – sequence: 15 givenname: Hiroyuki surname: Yoshikawa fullname: Yoshikawa, Hiroyuki |
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Keywords | Premalignant lesion Genotype CIN LSIL Papovaviridae Precursor Female genital diseases HPV Infection Papillomavirus Virus Prospective Human papillomavirus Cancerology Cohort study Viral disease Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia Uterine cervix diseases |
Language | English |
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SubjectTerms | Age Alphapapillomavirus - genetics Base Sequence Biological and medical sciences Cervical cancer Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - pathology Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - virology Cervix CIN Disease Progression DNA Primers DNA, Viral - genetics Female Genotype Genotypes Genotyping HPV Human papillomavirus Humans Infection Infectious diseases LSIL Medical sciences Neoplasia Prospective Studies Risk assessment Risk factors Risk groups Tumors Viral diseases |
Title | Predicting the progression of cervical precursor lesions by human papillomavirus genotyping: A prospective cohort study |
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