Predicting the progression of cervical precursor lesions by human papillomavirus genotyping: A prospective cohort study

Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Ja...

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Published inInternational journal of cancer Vol. 128; no. 12; pp. 2898 - 2910
Main Authors Matsumoto, Koji, Oki, Akinori, Furuta, Reiko, Maeda, Hiroo, Yasugi, Toshiharu, Takatsuka, Naoyoshi, Mitsuhashi, Akira, Fujii, Takuma, Hirai, Yasuo, Iwasaka, Tsuyoshi, Yaegashi, Nobuo, Watanabe, Yoh, Nagai, Yutaka, Kitagawa, Tomoyuki, Yoshikawa, Hiroyuki
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Hoboken Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company 15.06.2011
Wiley-Blackwell
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Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0020-7136
1097-0215
1097-0215
DOI10.1002/ijc.25630

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Abstract Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1–2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow‐up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction‐based methodology. Over the period of follow‐up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42–1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37–2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low‐risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39–88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65–306); 31 (24.7, 2.51–243); 33 (20.3, 1.78–231); 35 (13.7, 0.75–251); 52 (11.6, 1.45–93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01–77.6); other high‐risk types (4.04, 0.47–34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high‐risk types; 1.7% for low‐risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type‐specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1–2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression.
AbstractList Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1-2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow-up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction-based methodology. Over the period of follow-up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42-1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37-2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low-risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39-88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65-306); 31 (24.7, 2.51-243); 33 (20.3, 1.78-231); 35 (13.7, 0.75-251); 52 (11.6, 1.45-93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01-77.6); other high-risk types (4.04, 0.47-34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high-risk types; 1.7% for low-risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type-specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1-2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression.Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1-2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow-up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction-based methodology. Over the period of follow-up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42-1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37-2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low-risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39-88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65-306); 31 (24.7, 2.51-243); 33 (20.3, 1.78-231); 35 (13.7, 0.75-251); 52 (11.6, 1.45-93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01-77.6); other high-risk types (4.04, 0.47-34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high-risk types; 1.7% for low-risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type-specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1-2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression.
Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1–2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow‐up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction‐based methodology. Over the period of follow‐up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42–1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37–2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low‐risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39–88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65–306); 31 (24.7, 2.51–243); 33 (20.3, 1.78–231); 35 (13.7, 0.75–251); 52 (11.6, 1.45–93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01–77.6); other high‐risk types (4.04, 0.47–34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high‐risk types; 1.7% for low‐risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type‐specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1–2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression.
Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1-2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow-up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction-based methodology. Over the period of follow-up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42-1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37-2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 (vs. women with low-risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39-88.3); 18 (14.,0.65-306); 31 (24.7, 2.51-243); 33 (20.3, 1.78-231); 35 (13.,0.75-251); 52 (11.6, 1.45-93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01-77.6); other high-risk types (4.0,0.47-34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high-risk types; 1.7% for low-risk types (p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type-specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1-2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression.
Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which lesions will progress or not. To estimate the risk of disease progression associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes, we followed 570 Japanese women with cytological LSIL (low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) and histological CIN (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) grade 1–2 lesions (479 CIN 1; 91 CIN 2) at 3 to 4 month intervals for a mean follow‐up period of 39.1 months. At entry, we detected HPV DNA in cervical samples by polymerase chain reaction‐based methodology. Over the period of follow‐up period, 46 lesions progressed to CIN 3 while 362 regressed to normal cytology. Women with multiple HPV infections were more likely to have persistent lesions (hazard ratio [HR] for regression, 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42–1.02; p = 0.07); however, multiple infections did not increase the risk of progression (HR for progression, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.37–2.94; p = 0.94). After adjusting for CIN grade and women's age, HRs for progression to CIN 3 ( vs. women with low‐risk types or negative for HPV DNA) varied markedly by HPV genotype: type 16 (11.1, 95% CI: 1.39–88.3); 18 (14.1, 0.65–306); 31 (24.7, 2.51–243); 33 (20.3, 1.78–231); 35 (13.7, 0.75–251); 52 (11.6, 1.45–93.3); 58 (8.85, 1.01–77.6); other high‐risk types (4.04, 0.47–34.7). HPV 45 was not detected in our study subjects. The cumulative probability of CIN 3 within 5 years was 20.5% for HPV 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 52 and 58; 6.0% for other high‐risk types; 1.7% for low‐risk types ( p = 0.0001). In conclusion, type‐specific HPV testing for women with LSIL/CIN 1–2 lesions is useful for identifying populations at increased or decreased risk of disease progression.
Author Oki, Akinori
Kitagawa, Tomoyuki
Iwasaka, Tsuyoshi
Yoshikawa, Hiroyuki
Furuta, Reiko
Takatsuka, Naoyoshi
Nagai, Yutaka
Watanabe, Yoh
Mitsuhashi, Akira
Yasugi, Toshiharu
Matsumoto, Koji
Fujii, Takuma
Hirai, Yasuo
Yaegashi, Nobuo
Maeda, Hiroo
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  surname: Oki
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  surname: Furuta
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  surname: Maeda
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  surname: Yasugi
  fullname: Yasugi, Toshiharu
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  surname: Takatsuka
  fullname: Takatsuka, Naoyoshi
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  fullname: Yaegashi, Nobuo
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  surname: Watanabe
  fullname: Watanabe, Yoh
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  givenname: Yutaka
  surname: Nagai
  fullname: Nagai, Yutaka
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  surname: Kitagawa
  fullname: Kitagawa, Tomoyuki
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  surname: Yoshikawa
  fullname: Yoshikawa, Hiroyuki
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Issue 12
Keywords Premalignant lesion
Genotype
CIN
LSIL
Papovaviridae
Precursor
Female genital diseases
HPV
Infection
Papillomavirus
Virus
Prospective
Human papillomavirus
Cancerology
Cohort study
Viral disease
Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia
Uterine cervix diseases
Language English
License http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
CC BY 4.0
Copyright © 2010 UICC.
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References 2005; 191
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Snippet Only a subset of cervical precursor lesions progress to cervical cancer and because of the lack of the predictive markers, it cannot be ascertained which...
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SubjectTerms Age
Alphapapillomavirus - genetics
Base Sequence
Biological and medical sciences
Cervical cancer
Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - pathology
Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - virology
Cervix
CIN
Disease Progression
DNA Primers
DNA, Viral - genetics
Female
Genotype
Genotypes
Genotyping
HPV
Human papillomavirus
Humans
Infection
Infectious diseases
LSIL
Medical sciences
Neoplasia
Prospective Studies
Risk assessment
Risk factors
Risk groups
Tumors
Viral diseases
Title Predicting the progression of cervical precursor lesions by human papillomavirus genotyping: A prospective cohort study
URI https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002%2Fijc.25630
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20734388
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Volume 128
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