Evidence for declining forest resilience to wildfires under climate change

Forest resilience to climate change is a global concern given the potential effects of increased disturbance activity, warming temperatures and increased moisture stress on plants. We used a multi‐regional dataset of 1485 sites across 52 wildfires from the US Rocky Mountains to ask if and how changi...

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Published in	Ecology letters Vol. 21; no. 2; pp. 243 - 252
Main Authors	Stevens‐Rumann, Camille S., Kemp, Kerry B., Higuera, Philip E., Harvey, Brian J., Rother, Monica T., Donato, Daniel C., Morgan, Penelope, Veblen, Thomas T., Lloret, Francisco
Format	Journal Article
Language	English
Published	England Blackwell Publishing Ltd 01.02.2018
Subjects	Climate Change climatic factors data collection Dry forests Ecosystem services Fires forest recovery forest resilience Forests Moisture Moisture stress Mountains Regeneration Resilience Rocky Mountain region Seedlings temperature tree regeneration Trees United States wildfire Wildfires United States Rocky Mountain region Climate change tree regeneration forest resilience forest recovery wildfire
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Abstract	Forest resilience to climate change is a global concern given the potential effects of increased disturbance activity, warming temperatures and increased moisture stress on plants. We used a multi‐regional dataset of 1485 sites across 52 wildfires from the US Rocky Mountains to ask if and how changing climate over the last several decades impacted post‐fire tree regeneration, a key indicator of forest resilience. Results highlight significant decreases in tree regeneration in the 21st century. Annual moisture deficits were significantly greater from 2000 to 2015 as compared to 1985–1999, suggesting increasingly unfavourable post‐fire growing conditions, corresponding to significantly lower seedling densities and increased regeneration failure. Dry forests that already occur at the edge of their climatic tolerance are most prone to conversion to non‐forests after wildfires. Major climate‐induced reduction in forest density and extent has important consequences for a myriad of ecosystem services now and in the future.
AbstractList	Forest resilience to climate change is a global concern given the potential effects of increased disturbance activity, warming temperatures and increased moisture stress on plants. We used a multi-regional dataset of 1485 sites across 52 wildfires from the US Rocky Mountains to ask if and how changing climate over the last several decades impacted post-fire tree regeneration, a key indicator of forest resilience. Results highlight significant decreases in tree regeneration in the 21st century. Annual moisture deficits were significantly greater from 2000 to 2015 as compared to 1985-1999, suggesting increasingly unfavourable post-fire growing conditions, corresponding to significantly lower seedling densities and increased regeneration failure. Dry forests that already occur at the edge of their climatic tolerance are most prone to conversion to non-forests after wildfires. Major climate-induced reduction in forest density and extent has important consequences for a myriad of ecosystem services now and in the future. Forest resilience to climate change is a global concern given the potential effects of increased disturbance activity, warming temperatures and increased moisture stress on plants. We used a multi-regional dataset of 1485 sites across 52 wildfires from the US Rocky Mountains to ask if and how changing climate over the last several decades impacted post-fire tree regeneration, a key indicator of forest resilience. Results highlight significant decreases in tree regeneration in the 21st century. Annual moisture deficits were significantly greater from 2000 to 2015 as compared to 1985-1999, suggesting increasingly unfavourable post-fire growing conditions, corresponding to significantly lower seedling densities and increased regeneration failure. Dry forests that already occur at the edge of their climatic tolerance are most prone to conversion to non-forests after wildfires. Major climate-induced reduction in forest density and extent has important consequences for a myriad of ecosystem services now and in the future.Forest resilience to climate change is a global concern given the potential effects of increased disturbance activity, warming temperatures and increased moisture stress on plants. We used a multi-regional dataset of 1485 sites across 52 wildfires from the US Rocky Mountains to ask if and how changing climate over the last several decades impacted post-fire tree regeneration, a key indicator of forest resilience. Results highlight significant decreases in tree regeneration in the 21st century. Annual moisture deficits were significantly greater from 2000 to 2015 as compared to 1985-1999, suggesting increasingly unfavourable post-fire growing conditions, corresponding to significantly lower seedling densities and increased regeneration failure. Dry forests that already occur at the edge of their climatic tolerance are most prone to conversion to non-forests after wildfires. Major climate-induced reduction in forest density and extent has important consequences for a myriad of ecosystem services now and in the future.
Author	Kemp, Kerry B. Donato, Daniel C. Lloret, Francisco Stevens‐Rumann, Camille S. Morgan, Penelope Rother, Monica T. Harvey, Brian J. Higuera, Philip E. Veblen, Thomas T.
Author_xml	– sequence: 1 givenname: Camille S. surname: Stevens‐Rumann fullname: Stevens‐Rumann, Camille S. email: c.stevens-rumann@colostate.edu organization: Colorado State University – sequence: 2 givenname: Kerry B. surname: Kemp fullname: Kemp, Kerry B. organization: The Nature Conservancy – sequence: 3 givenname: Philip E. surname: Higuera fullname: Higuera, Philip E. organization: University of Montana – sequence: 4 givenname: Brian J. surname: Harvey fullname: Harvey, Brian J. organization: University of Washington – sequence: 5 givenname: Monica T. surname: Rother fullname: Rother, Monica T. organization: Tall Timbers Research Station and Land Conservancy – sequence: 6 givenname: Daniel C. surname: Donato fullname: Donato, Daniel C. organization: Washington State – sequence: 7 givenname: Penelope surname: Morgan fullname: Morgan, Penelope organization: University of Idaho – sequence: 8 givenname: Thomas T. surname: Veblen fullname: Veblen, Thomas T. organization: University of Colorado, Boulder – sequence: 9 givenname: Francisco surname: Lloret fullname: Lloret, Francisco
BackLink	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29230936$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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Snippet	Forest resilience to climate change is a global concern given the potential effects of increased disturbance activity, warming temperatures and increased...
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SubjectTerms	Climate Change climatic factors data collection Dry forests Ecosystem services Fires forest recovery forest resilience Forests Moisture Moisture stress Mountains Regeneration Resilience Rocky Mountain region Seedlings temperature tree regeneration Trees United States wildfire Wildfires
Title	Evidence for declining forest resilience to wildfires under climate change
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