Leveraging fine-mapping and multipopulation training data to improve cross-population polygenic risk scores

Polygenic risk scores suffer reduced accuracy in non-European populations, exacerbating health disparities. We propose PolyPred, a method that improves cross-population polygenic risk scores by combining two predictors: a new predictor that leverages functionally informed fine-mapping to estimate ca...

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Published inNature genetics Vol. 54; no. 4; pp. 450 - 458
Main Authors Weissbrod, Omer, Kanai, Masahiro, Shi, Huwenbo, Gazal, Steven, Peyrot, Wouter J., Khera, Amit V., Okada, Yukinori, Martin, Alicia R., Finucane, Hilary K., Price, Alkes L.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published New York Nature Publishing Group US 01.04.2022
Nature Publishing Group
Subjects
631/208/2489
692/699
Accuracy
Agriculture
Animal Genetics and Genomics
Biobanks
Biomedical and Life Sciences
Biomedicine
Cancer Research
Estimates
Gene Function
Genome-Wide Association Study
Genomes
Human Genetics
Humans
Linkage Disequilibrium
Mapping
Methods
Multifactorial Inheritance - genetics
Polygenic inheritance
Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide - genetics
Populations
Risk
Risk Factors
Simulation
Training
United Kingdom > UK
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Abstract Polygenic risk scores suffer reduced accuracy in non-European populations, exacerbating health disparities. We propose PolyPred, a method that improves cross-population polygenic risk scores by combining two predictors: a new predictor that leverages functionally informed fine-mapping to estimate causal effects (instead of tagging effects), addressing linkage disequilibrium differences, and BOLT-LMM, a published predictor. When a large training sample is available in the non-European target population, we propose PolyPred + , which further incorporates the non-European training data. We applied PolyPred to 49 diseases/traits in four UK Biobank populations using UK Biobank British training data, and observed relative improvements versus BOLT-LMM ranging from +7% in south Asians to +32% in Africans, consistent with simulations. We applied PolyPred + to 23 diseases/traits in UK Biobank east Asians using both UK Biobank British and Biobank Japan training data, and observed improvements of +24% versus BOLT-LMM and +12% versus PolyPred. Summary statistics-based analogs of PolyPred and PolyPred + attained similar improvements. PolyPred and PolyPred + methods that leverage fine-mapping and non-European training data significantly improve cross-population polygenic prediction accuracy when applied to diseases and complex traits in UK Biobank populations.
AbstractList Polygenic risk scores suffer reduced accuracy in non-European populations, exacerbating health disparities. We propose PolyPred, a method that improves cross-population polygenic risk scores by combining two predictors: a new predictor that leverages functionally informed fine-mapping to estimate causal effects (instead of tagging effects), addressing linkage disequilibrium differences, and BOLT-LMM, a published predictor. When a large training sample is available in the non-European target population, we propose PolyPred+, which further incorporates the non-European training data. We applied PolyPred to 49 diseases/traits in four UK Biobank populations using UK Biobank British training data, and observed relative improvements versus BOLT-LMM ranging from +7% in south Asians to +32% in Africans, consistent with simulations. We applied PolyPred+ to 23 diseases/traits in UK Biobank east Asians using both UK Biobank British and Biobank Japan training data, and observed improvements of +24% versus BOLT-LMM and +12% versus PolyPred. Summary statistics-based analogs of PolyPred and PolyPred+ attained similar improvements.Polygenic risk scores suffer reduced accuracy in non-European populations, exacerbating health disparities. We propose PolyPred, a method that improves cross-population polygenic risk scores by combining two predictors: a new predictor that leverages functionally informed fine-mapping to estimate causal effects (instead of tagging effects), addressing linkage disequilibrium differences, and BOLT-LMM, a published predictor. When a large training sample is available in the non-European target population, we propose PolyPred+, which further incorporates the non-European training data. We applied PolyPred to 49 diseases/traits in four UK Biobank populations using UK Biobank British training data, and observed relative improvements versus BOLT-LMM ranging from +7% in south Asians to +32% in Africans, consistent with simulations. We applied PolyPred+ to 23 diseases/traits in UK Biobank east Asians using both UK Biobank British and Biobank Japan training data, and observed improvements of +24% versus BOLT-LMM and +12% versus PolyPred. Summary statistics-based analogs of PolyPred and PolyPred+ attained similar improvements.
Polygenic risk scores suffer reduced accuracy in non-European populations, exacerbating health disparities. We propose PolyPred, a method that improves cross-population polygenic risk scores by combining two predictors: a new predictor that leverages functionally informed fine-mapping to estimate causal effects (instead of tagging effects), addressing linkage disequilibrium differences, and BOLT-LMM, a published predictor. When a large training sample is available in the non-European target population, we propose PolyPred+, which further incorporates the non-European training data. We applied PolyPred to 49 diseases/traits in four UK Biobank populations using UK Biobank British training data, and observed relative improvements versus BOLT-LMM ranging from +7% in south Asians to +32% in Africans, consistent with simulations. We applied PolyPred+ to 23 diseases/traits in UK Biobank east Asians using both UK Biobank British and Biobank Japan training data, and observed improvements of +24% versus BOLT-LMM and +12% versus PolyPred. Summary statistics-based analogs of PolyPred and PolyPred+ attained similar improvements.
Polygenic risk scores suffer reduced accuracy in non-European populations, exacerbating health disparities. We propose PolyPred, a method that improves cross-population polygenic risk scores by combining two predictors: a new predictor that leverages functionally informed fine-mapping to estimate causal effects (instead of tagging effects), addressing linkage disequilibrium differences, and BOLT-LMM, a published predictor. When a large training sample is available in the non-European target population, we propose PolyPred , which further incorporates the non-European training data. We applied PolyPred to 49 diseases/traits in four UK Biobank populations using UK Biobank British training data, and observed relative improvements versus BOLT-LMM ranging from +7% in south Asians to +32% in Africans, consistent with simulations. We applied PolyPred to 23 diseases/traits in UK Biobank east Asians using both UK Biobank British and Biobank Japan training data, and observed improvements of +24% versus BOLT-LMM and +12% versus PolyPred. Summary statistics-based analogs of PolyPred and PolyPred attained similar improvements.
Polygenic risk scores suffer reduced accuracy in non-European populations, exacerbating health disparities. We propose PolyPred, a method that improves cross-population polygenic risk scores by combining two predictors: a new predictor that leverages functionally informed fine-mapping to estimate causal effects (instead of tagging effects), addressing linkage disequilibrium differences, and BOLT-LMM, a published predictor. When a large training sample is available in the non-European target population, we propose PolyPred + , which further incorporates the non-European training data. We applied PolyPred to 49 diseases/traits in four UK Biobank populations using UK Biobank British training data, and observed relative improvements versus BOLT-LMM ranging from +7% in south Asians to +32% in Africans, consistent with simulations. We applied PolyPred + to 23 diseases/traits in UK Biobank east Asians using both UK Biobank British and Biobank Japan training data, and observed improvements of +24% versus BOLT-LMM and +12% versus PolyPred. Summary statistics-based analogs of PolyPred and PolyPred + attained similar improvements. PolyPred and PolyPred + methods that leverage fine-mapping and non-European training data significantly improve cross-population polygenic prediction accuracy when applied to diseases and complex traits in UK Biobank populations.
Author Kanai, Masahiro
Peyrot, Wouter J.
Weissbrod, Omer
Martin, Alicia R.
Okada, Yukinori
Finucane, Hilary K.
Price, Alkes L.
Shi, Huwenbo
Khera, Amit V.
Gazal, Steven
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BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35393596$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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Snippet Polygenic risk scores suffer reduced accuracy in non-European populations, exacerbating health disparities. We propose PolyPred, a method that improves...
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SubjectTerms 631/208/2489
692/699
Accuracy
Agriculture
Animal Genetics and Genomics
Biobanks
Biomedical and Life Sciences
Biomedicine
Cancer Research
Estimates
Gene Function
Genome-Wide Association Study
Genomes
Human Genetics
Humans
Linkage Disequilibrium
Mapping
Methods
Multifactorial Inheritance - genetics
Polygenic inheritance
Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide - genetics
Populations
Risk
Risk Factors
Simulation
Training
Title Leveraging fine-mapping and multipopulation training data to improve cross-population polygenic risk scores
URI https://link.springer.com/article/10.1038/s41588-022-01036-9
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35393596
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