Space-time rainfall variability in the Paute basin, Ecuadorian Andes

Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to severa...

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Published inHydrological processes Vol. 21; no. 24; pp. 3316 - 3327
Main Authors Celleri, Rolando, Willems, Patrick, Buytaert, Wouter, Feyen, Jan
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Chichester, UK John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 15.11.2007
Wiley
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Abstract Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large-scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660-3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non-monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964-1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the páramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin-wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation-triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
AbstractList Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large-scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660-3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non-monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964-1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the páramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin-wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation-triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring.
Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large‐scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660–3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non‐monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964–1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the páramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin‐wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation‐triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large-scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660-3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non-monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964-1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the paramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin-wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation-triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring.
Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large-scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660-3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non-monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964-1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the páramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin-wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation-triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Author Feyen, Jan
Willems, Patrick
Celleri, Rolando
Buytaert, Wouter
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Issue 24
Keywords rivers
mountains
rainfall
atmospheric precipitation
climate variability
concentration
rain water
case studies
mountain rainfall
Paute Basin
spatiotemporal variations
space-time rainfall variability
data bases
seasonal variations
Ecuadorian Andes
Language English
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  text: 15 November 2007
  day: 15
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PublicationTitle Hydrological processes
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Publisher John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
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References Rossel F, Mejıa R, Ontaneda G, Pombosa R, Roura J, Le Goulven P, Cadier E, Calvez R. 1998. Régionalisation de l'influence du El Niño sur les précipitations de l'Equateur. Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines 27: 643-654.
Buytaert W, Célleri R, Willems P, De Bièvre B, Wyseure G. 2006. Spatial and temporal rainfall variability in mountainous areas. A case study from the south Ecuadorian Andes. Journal of Hydrology 329: 413-421.
Coltorti M, Ollier CD. 2000. Geomorphic and tectonic evolution of the Ecuadorian Andes. Geomorphology 32: 1-19.
Cáceres L, Mejía R, Ontaneda G. 1998. Evidencias del cambio climático en Ecuador. Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines 27: 547-566.
Walsh PD, Lawler DM. 1981. Rainfall seasonality: description, spatial patterns and change through time. Weather 36: 201-208.
Marquinez J, Lastra J, Garcia P. 2003. Estimation models for rainfall in mountainous regions: the use of GIS and multivariate analysis. Journal of Hydrology 270: 1-11.
Buytaert W, Deckers J, Dercon G, De Bièvre B, Poesen J, Govers G. 2002. Impact of land use changes on the hydrological properties of volcanic ash soils in South Ecuador. Soil Use and Management 18: 94-100.
White S, Maldonado F. 1991. The use and conservation of natural resources in the Andes of Southern Ecuador. Mountain Research and Development 11: 37-55.
Goovaerts P. 2000. Geostatistical approaches for incorporating elevation into the spatial interpolation of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 228: 113-129.
Vuille M, Bradley RS. 2000. Mean annual temperature trends and their vertical structure in the tropical Andes. Geophysical Research Letters 27: 3885-3888.
Romero R, Guijarro JA, Ramis C, Alonso S. 1998. A 30-year (1964-1993) daily rainfall data base for the Spanish Mediterranean regions: first exploratory study. International Journal of Climatology 18: 541-560.
Bendix J. 2000. Precipitation dynamics in Ecuador and northern Peru during the 1991/92 El Niño: a remote sensing perspective. International Journal of Remote Sensing 21: 533-548.
Rohr PC, Killingtveit A. 2003. Rainfall distribution on the slopes of Mt. Kilimanjaro. Hydrological Sciences Journal 48: 65-77.
Ambroise B. 1995. Topography and the water cycle in a temperate middle mountain environment: the need for interdisciplinary experiments. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 73: 217-235.
WMO. 1994. Guide to Hydrological Practices: Data Acquisition and Processing, Analysis, Forecasting and other Applications. WMO Publication 168, World Meteorological Organization: Geneva.
Lloyd CD. 2004. Assessing the effect of integrating elevation data into the estimation of monthly precipitation in Great Britain. Journal of Hydrology 308: 128-150. DOI: 10·1016/j.jhydrol.2004·10·026.
Periago MC, Lana X, Serra C, Fernandez Mills G. 1991. Rainfall regionalization: an application using a meteorological network in Catalonia (NE Spain). International Journal of Climatology 11: 529-543.
Poulenard J, Podwojewski P, Janeau JL, Collinet J. 2001. Runoff and soil erosion under rainfall simulation of Andisols from the Ecuadorian Páramo: effect of tillage and burning. Catena 45: 185-207.
Vuille M, Bradley RS, Keimig F. 2000. Climate variability in the Andes of Ecuador and its relation to tropical pacific and Atlantic Sea surface temperature anomalies. Journal of Climate 13: 2520-2535.
Oliver JE. 1980. Monthly precipitation distribution: a comparative index. Professional Geographer 32: 300-309.
Sumner G, Homar V, Ramis C. 2001. Precipitation seasonality in eastern and southern coastal Spain. International Journal of Climatology 21: 219-247.
Drogue G, Humbert J, Deraisme J, Mahr N, Freslon N. 2002. A statistical-topographic model using an omnidirectional parameterization of the relief for mapping orographic rainfall. International Journal of Climatology 22: 599-613. DOI: 10·1002/joc.671.
Sen Z, Habib Z. 1998. Point cumulative semivariogram of areal rainfall in mountainous regions. Journal of Hydrology 205: 81-91.
Jeffrey S, Carter JO, Moodie KB, Beswick AR. 2001. Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data. Environmental Modelling and Software 16: 309-330.
Singh P, Kumar N. 1997. Effect of orography on rainfall in the western Himalayan region. Journal of Hydrology 199: 183-206.
Helsel DR, Hirsch RM. 1992. Statistical Methods in Water Resources. Elsevier: Amsterdam.
Fleming M, Stuart Chapin III F, Cramer W, Hufford G, Serreze M. 2000. Geographic patterns and dynamics of Alaskan climate interpolated from a sparse station record. Global Change Biology 6: 49-58.
Jansky L, Ives J, Furuyashiki K, Watanabe T. 2002. Global mountain research for sustainable development. Global Environmental Change 12: 231-239.
Linsley Jr R, Kohler K, Paulhus MA. 1975. Applied Hydrology. McGraw-Hill: New Delhi.
Makhuvha T, Pegram G, Sparks R, Zucchini W. 1997. Patching rainfall data using regression methods. I. Best subset selection, EM and pseudo-EM methods: theory. Journal of Hydrology 198: 289-307.
Hevesi JA, Istok JD, Flint AL. 1992. Precipitation estimation in mountainous terrain using multivariate geostatistics. Part I: Structural analysis. Journal of Applied Meteorology 31: 661-676.
Pulwarty RS, Barry RG, Hurst CM, Sellinger K, Mogollon LF. 1998. Precipitation in the Venezuelan Andes in the context of regional climate. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 67: 217-237.
De Luis M, Raventos J, Gonzalez-Hidalgo JC, Sanchez JR, Cortina J. 2000. Spatial analysis of rainfall trends in the region of Valencia (east Spain). International Journal of Climatology 20: 1451-1469.
Pourrut P, Gómez G. 1998. El Ecuador al cruce de varias influencias climáticas. Una situación estratégica para el estudio del fenómeno El Niño. Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines 27: 449-457.
Bacchi B, Kottegoda N. 1995. Identification and calibration of spatial correlation patterns of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 165: 311-348.
Habib E, Krajewski WF, Ciach GJ. 2001. Estimation of rainfall interstation correlation. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2: 621-629.
Viviroli D, Weingartner R, Messerli B. 2003. Assessing the hydrological significance of the World's mountain. Mountain Research and Development 23: 32-40.
1998; 27
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2001; 45
1998; 67
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2001; 21
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2001
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2000
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– reference: Periago MC, Lana X, Serra C, Fernandez Mills G. 1991. Rainfall regionalization: an application using a meteorological network in Catalonia (NE Spain). International Journal of Climatology 11: 529-543.
– reference: Drogue G, Humbert J, Deraisme J, Mahr N, Freslon N. 2002. A statistical-topographic model using an omnidirectional parameterization of the relief for mapping orographic rainfall. International Journal of Climatology 22: 599-613. DOI: 10·1002/joc.671.
– reference: Jeffrey S, Carter JO, Moodie KB, Beswick AR. 2001. Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data. Environmental Modelling and Software 16: 309-330.
– reference: Fleming M, Stuart Chapin III F, Cramer W, Hufford G, Serreze M. 2000. Geographic patterns and dynamics of Alaskan climate interpolated from a sparse station record. Global Change Biology 6: 49-58.
– reference: Bendix J. 2000. Precipitation dynamics in Ecuador and northern Peru during the 1991/92 El Niño: a remote sensing perspective. International Journal of Remote Sensing 21: 533-548.
– reference: Goovaerts P. 2000. Geostatistical approaches for incorporating elevation into the spatial interpolation of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 228: 113-129.
– reference: Vuille M, Bradley RS, Keimig F. 2000. Climate variability in the Andes of Ecuador and its relation to tropical pacific and Atlantic Sea surface temperature anomalies. Journal of Climate 13: 2520-2535.
– reference: White S, Maldonado F. 1991. The use and conservation of natural resources in the Andes of Southern Ecuador. Mountain Research and Development 11: 37-55.
– reference: Bacchi B, Kottegoda N. 1995. Identification and calibration of spatial correlation patterns of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 165: 311-348.
– reference: De Luis M, Raventos J, Gonzalez-Hidalgo JC, Sanchez JR, Cortina J. 2000. Spatial analysis of rainfall trends in the region of Valencia (east Spain). International Journal of Climatology 20: 1451-1469.
– reference: Jansky L, Ives J, Furuyashiki K, Watanabe T. 2002. Global mountain research for sustainable development. Global Environmental Change 12: 231-239.
– reference: Oliver JE. 1980. Monthly precipitation distribution: a comparative index. Professional Geographer 32: 300-309.
– reference: Sen Z, Habib Z. 1998. Point cumulative semivariogram of areal rainfall in mountainous regions. Journal of Hydrology 205: 81-91.
– reference: Viviroli D, Weingartner R, Messerli B. 2003. Assessing the hydrological significance of the World's mountain. Mountain Research and Development 23: 32-40.
– reference: Cáceres L, Mejía R, Ontaneda G. 1998. Evidencias del cambio climático en Ecuador. Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines 27: 547-566.
– reference: Linsley Jr R, Kohler K, Paulhus MA. 1975. Applied Hydrology. McGraw-Hill: New Delhi.
– reference: Marquinez J, Lastra J, Garcia P. 2003. Estimation models for rainfall in mountainous regions: the use of GIS and multivariate analysis. Journal of Hydrology 270: 1-11.
– reference: Poulenard J, Podwojewski P, Janeau JL, Collinet J. 2001. Runoff and soil erosion under rainfall simulation of Andisols from the Ecuadorian Páramo: effect of tillage and burning. Catena 45: 185-207.
– reference: Pulwarty RS, Barry RG, Hurst CM, Sellinger K, Mogollon LF. 1998. Precipitation in the Venezuelan Andes in the context of regional climate. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 67: 217-237.
– reference: WMO. 1994. Guide to Hydrological Practices: Data Acquisition and Processing, Analysis, Forecasting and other Applications. WMO Publication 168, World Meteorological Organization: Geneva.
– reference: Coltorti M, Ollier CD. 2000. Geomorphic and tectonic evolution of the Ecuadorian Andes. Geomorphology 32: 1-19.
– reference: Rohr PC, Killingtveit A. 2003. Rainfall distribution on the slopes of Mt. Kilimanjaro. Hydrological Sciences Journal 48: 65-77.
– reference: Habib E, Krajewski WF, Ciach GJ. 2001. Estimation of rainfall interstation correlation. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2: 621-629.
– reference: Hevesi JA, Istok JD, Flint AL. 1992. Precipitation estimation in mountainous terrain using multivariate geostatistics. Part I: Structural analysis. Journal of Applied Meteorology 31: 661-676.
– reference: Ambroise B. 1995. Topography and the water cycle in a temperate middle mountain environment: the need for interdisciplinary experiments. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 73: 217-235.
– reference: Buytaert W, Célleri R, Willems P, De Bièvre B, Wyseure G. 2006. Spatial and temporal rainfall variability in mountainous areas. A case study from the south Ecuadorian Andes. Journal of Hydrology 329: 413-421.
– reference: Helsel DR, Hirsch RM. 1992. Statistical Methods in Water Resources. Elsevier: Amsterdam.
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– reference: Walsh PD, Lawler DM. 1981. Rainfall seasonality: description, spatial patterns and change through time. Weather 36: 201-208.
– reference: Pourrut P, Gómez G. 1998. El Ecuador al cruce de varias influencias climáticas. Una situación estratégica para el estudio del fenómeno El Niño. Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines 27: 449-457.
– reference: Sumner G, Homar V, Ramis C. 2001. Precipitation seasonality in eastern and southern coastal Spain. International Journal of Climatology 21: 219-247.
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Snippet Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data...
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SubjectTerms Andes region
basins
case studies
climate
disasters
Earth sciences
Earth, ocean, space
Ecuador
Ecuadorian Andes
Exact sciences and technology
Hydrology
Hydrology. Hydrogeology
monitoring
mountain rainfall
mountains
Paute Basin
rain
risk
space-time rainfall variability
watersheds
wet season
Title Space-time rainfall variability in the Paute basin, Ecuadorian Andes
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Volume 21
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