Space-time rainfall variability in the Paute basin, Ecuadorian Andes
Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to severa...
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Published in | Hydrological processes Vol. 21; no. 24; pp. 3316 - 3327 |
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Main Authors | , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Chichester, UK
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
15.11.2007
Wiley |
Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
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Abstract | Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large-scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660-3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non-monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964-1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the páramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin-wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation-triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
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AbstractList | Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large-scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660-3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non-monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964-1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the páramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin-wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation-triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring. Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large‐scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660–3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non‐monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964–1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the páramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin‐wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation‐triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large-scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660-3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non-monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964-1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the paramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin-wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation-triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring. Despite the importance of mountain ranges as water providers, knowledge of their climate variability is still limited, mostly due to a combination of data scarcity and heterogeneous orography. The tropical Andes share many of the main features of mountain ranges in general, and are subject to several climatic influences that have an effect on rainfall variability. Although studies have addressed the large-scale variation, the basin scale has received little attention. Thus, the purpose of this study was to obtain a better understanding of rainfall variability in the tropical Andes at the basin scal, utilizing the Paute River basin of southern Ecuador as a case study. Analysis of 23 rainfall stations revealed a high spatial variability in terms of: (i) large variations of mean annual precipitation in the range 660-3400 mm; (ii) the presence of a non-monotonic relation between annual precipitation and elevation; and (iii) the existence of four, sometimes contrasting, rainfall regimes. Data from seven stations for the period 1964-1998 was used to study seasonality and trends in annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation. Seasonality is less pronounced at higher elevations, confirming that in the páramo region, the main water source for Andean basins, rainfall is well distributed year round. Additionally, during the period of record, no station has experienced extreme concentrations of annual rainfall during the wet season, which supports the concept of mountains as reliable water providers. Although no regional or basin-wide trends are found for annual precipitation, positive (negative) trends during the wet (dry) season found at four stations raises the likelihood of both water shortages and the risk of precipitation-triggered disasters. The study demonstrates how variable the precipitation patterns of the Andean mountain range are, and illustrates the need for improved monitoring. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
Author | Feyen, Jan Willems, Patrick Celleri, Rolando Buytaert, Wouter |
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Keywords | rivers mountains rainfall atmospheric precipitation climate variability concentration rain water case studies mountain rainfall Paute Basin spatiotemporal variations space-time rainfall variability data bases seasonal variations Ecuadorian Andes |
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Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines 27: 449-457. Bacchi B, Kottegoda N. 1995. Identification and calibration of spatial correlation patterns of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 165: 311-348. Habib E, Krajewski WF, Ciach GJ. 2001. Estimation of rainfall interstation correlation. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2: 621-629. Viviroli D, Weingartner R, Messerli B. 2003. Assessing the hydrological significance of the World's mountain. Mountain Research and Development 23: 32-40. 1998; 27 1995; 73 2002; 18 2000; 27 2000; 6 1991; 11 2000; 21 2002; 12 1997; 198 1997; 199 2000; 20 1998 1975 2003; 270 1996 1995 1994 1992 1992; 31 2001; 45 1998; 67 2004; 308 2001; 21 1998; 18 2006; 329 2001 1990 2000 2000; 13 2000; 32 2000; 228 2002; 22 1980; 32 1981; 36 1986 2003; 48 2001; 2 2001; 16 1998; 205 1995; 165 2003; 23 WMO (e_1_2_1_48_1) 1994 Klemes V (e_1_2_1_21_1) 1990 Luteyn JL (e_1_2_1_24_1) 1992 Sarmiento G (e_1_2_1_39_1) 1986 e_1_2_1_42_1 e_1_2_1_20_1 e_1_2_1_41_1 e_1_2_1_40_1 Cáceres L (e_1_2_1_8_1) 1998; 27 e_1_2_1_23_1 e_1_2_1_46_1 e_1_2_1_45_1 e_1_2_1_44_1 e_1_2_1_43_1 e_1_2_1_27_1 e_1_2_1_28_1 e_1_2_1_49_1 e_1_2_1_25_1 e_1_2_1_26_1 e_1_2_1_47_1 e_1_2_1_29_1 Linsley R (e_1_2_1_22_1) 1975 Price MF (e_1_2_1_34_1) 1995 Rossel F (e_1_2_1_38_1) 1998; 27 e_1_2_1_7_1 e_1_2_1_31_1 e_1_2_1_30_1 e_1_2_1_5_1 e_1_2_1_6_1 e_1_2_1_3_1 e_1_2_1_12_1 e_1_2_1_35_1 e_1_2_1_4_1 e_1_2_1_13_1 e_1_2_1_10_1 Pourrut P (e_1_2_1_32_1) 1998; 27 e_1_2_1_33_1 e_1_2_1_2_1 e_1_2_1_11_1 e_1_2_1_16_1 e_1_2_1_17_1 e_1_2_1_14_1 e_1_2_1_37_1 e_1_2_1_15_1 e_1_2_1_36_1 e_1_2_1_9_1 e_1_2_1_18_1 e_1_2_1_19_1 |
References_xml | – reference: Singh P, Kumar N. 1997. Effect of orography on rainfall in the western Himalayan region. Journal of Hydrology 199: 183-206. – reference: Periago MC, Lana X, Serra C, Fernandez Mills G. 1991. Rainfall regionalization: an application using a meteorological network in Catalonia (NE Spain). International Journal of Climatology 11: 529-543. – reference: Drogue G, Humbert J, Deraisme J, Mahr N, Freslon N. 2002. A statistical-topographic model using an omnidirectional parameterization of the relief for mapping orographic rainfall. International Journal of Climatology 22: 599-613. DOI: 10·1002/joc.671. – reference: Jeffrey S, Carter JO, Moodie KB, Beswick AR. 2001. Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data. Environmental Modelling and Software 16: 309-330. – reference: Fleming M, Stuart Chapin III F, Cramer W, Hufford G, Serreze M. 2000. Geographic patterns and dynamics of Alaskan climate interpolated from a sparse station record. Global Change Biology 6: 49-58. – reference: Bendix J. 2000. Precipitation dynamics in Ecuador and northern Peru during the 1991/92 El Niño: a remote sensing perspective. International Journal of Remote Sensing 21: 533-548. – reference: Goovaerts P. 2000. Geostatistical approaches for incorporating elevation into the spatial interpolation of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 228: 113-129. – reference: Vuille M, Bradley RS, Keimig F. 2000. Climate variability in the Andes of Ecuador and its relation to tropical pacific and Atlantic Sea surface temperature anomalies. Journal of Climate 13: 2520-2535. – reference: White S, Maldonado F. 1991. The use and conservation of natural resources in the Andes of Southern Ecuador. Mountain Research and Development 11: 37-55. – reference: Bacchi B, Kottegoda N. 1995. Identification and calibration of spatial correlation patterns of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 165: 311-348. – reference: De Luis M, Raventos J, Gonzalez-Hidalgo JC, Sanchez JR, Cortina J. 2000. Spatial analysis of rainfall trends in the region of Valencia (east Spain). International Journal of Climatology 20: 1451-1469. – reference: Jansky L, Ives J, Furuyashiki K, Watanabe T. 2002. Global mountain research for sustainable development. Global Environmental Change 12: 231-239. – reference: Oliver JE. 1980. Monthly precipitation distribution: a comparative index. Professional Geographer 32: 300-309. – reference: Sen Z, Habib Z. 1998. Point cumulative semivariogram of areal rainfall in mountainous regions. Journal of Hydrology 205: 81-91. – reference: Viviroli D, Weingartner R, Messerli B. 2003. Assessing the hydrological significance of the World's mountain. Mountain Research and Development 23: 32-40. – reference: Cáceres L, Mejía R, Ontaneda G. 1998. Evidencias del cambio climático en Ecuador. Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines 27: 547-566. – reference: Linsley Jr R, Kohler K, Paulhus MA. 1975. Applied Hydrology. McGraw-Hill: New Delhi. – reference: Marquinez J, Lastra J, Garcia P. 2003. Estimation models for rainfall in mountainous regions: the use of GIS and multivariate analysis. Journal of Hydrology 270: 1-11. – reference: Poulenard J, Podwojewski P, Janeau JL, Collinet J. 2001. Runoff and soil erosion under rainfall simulation of Andisols from the Ecuadorian Páramo: effect of tillage and burning. Catena 45: 185-207. – reference: Pulwarty RS, Barry RG, Hurst CM, Sellinger K, Mogollon LF. 1998. Precipitation in the Venezuelan Andes in the context of regional climate. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 67: 217-237. – reference: WMO. 1994. Guide to Hydrological Practices: Data Acquisition and Processing, Analysis, Forecasting and other Applications. WMO Publication 168, World Meteorological Organization: Geneva. – reference: Coltorti M, Ollier CD. 2000. Geomorphic and tectonic evolution of the Ecuadorian Andes. Geomorphology 32: 1-19. – reference: Rohr PC, Killingtveit A. 2003. Rainfall distribution on the slopes of Mt. Kilimanjaro. Hydrological Sciences Journal 48: 65-77. – reference: Habib E, Krajewski WF, Ciach GJ. 2001. Estimation of rainfall interstation correlation. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2: 621-629. – reference: Hevesi JA, Istok JD, Flint AL. 1992. Precipitation estimation in mountainous terrain using multivariate geostatistics. Part I: Structural analysis. Journal of Applied Meteorology 31: 661-676. – reference: Ambroise B. 1995. Topography and the water cycle in a temperate middle mountain environment: the need for interdisciplinary experiments. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 73: 217-235. – reference: Buytaert W, Célleri R, Willems P, De Bièvre B, Wyseure G. 2006. Spatial and temporal rainfall variability in mountainous areas. A case study from the south Ecuadorian Andes. 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Una situación estratégica para el estudio del fenómeno El Niño publication-title: Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines – volume: 32 start-page: 300 year: 1980 end-page: 309 article-title: Monthly precipitation distribution: a comparative index publication-title: Professional Geographer – volume: 27 start-page: 643 year: 1998 end-page: 654 article-title: Régionalisation de l'influence du El Niño sur les précipitations de l'Equateur publication-title: Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines – volume: 11 start-page: 529 year: 1991 end-page: 543 article-title: Rainfall regionalization: an application using a meteorological network in Catalonia (NE Spain) publication-title: International Journal of Climatology – volume: 21 start-page: 533 year: 2000 end-page: 548 article-title: Precipitation dynamics in Ecuador and northern Peru during the 1991/92 El Niño: a remote sensing perspective publication-title: International Journal of Remote Sensing – volume: 48 start-page: 65 year: 2003 end-page: 77 article-title: Rainfall distribution on the slopes of Mt. 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A case study from the south Ecuadorian Andes publication-title: Journal of Hydrology – volume: 198 start-page: 289 year: 1997 end-page: 307 article-title: Patching rainfall data using regression methods. I. Best subset selection, EM and pseudo‐EM methods: theory publication-title: Journal of Hydrology – volume: 12 start-page: 231 year: 2002 end-page: 239 article-title: Global mountain research for sustainable development publication-title: Global Environmental Change – volume: 27 start-page: 3885 year: 2000 end-page: 3888 article-title: Mean annual temperature trends and their vertical structure in the tropical Andes publication-title: Geophysical Research Letters – volume: 67 start-page: 217 year: 1998 end-page: 237 article-title: Precipitation in the Venezuelan Andes in the context of regional climate publication-title: Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics – volume: 31 start-page: 661 year: 1992 end-page: 676 article-title: Precipitation estimation in mountainous terrain using multivariate geostatistics. Part I: Structural analysis publication-title: Journal of Applied Meteorology – volume: 205 start-page: 81 year: 1998 end-page: 91 article-title: Point cumulative semivariogram of areal rainfall in mountainous regions publication-title: Journal of Hydrology – year: 1995 – volume: 18 start-page: 541 year: 1998 end-page: 560 article-title: A 30‐year (1964–1993) daily rainfall data base for the Spanish Mediterranean regions: first exploratory study publication-title: International Journal of Climatology – volume: 199 start-page: 183 year: 1997 end-page: 206 article-title: Effect of orography on rainfall in the western Himalayan region publication-title: Journal of Hydrology – volume: 18 start-page: 94 year: 2002 end-page: 100 article-title: Impact of land use changes on the hydrological properties of volcanic ash soils in South Ecuador publication-title: Soil Use and Management – volume: 45 start-page: 185 year: 2001 end-page: 207 article-title: Runoff and soil erosion under rainfall simulation of Andisols from the Ecuadorian Páramo: effect of tillage and burning publication-title: Catena – volume: 32 start-page: 1 year: 2000 end-page: 19 article-title: Geomorphic and tectonic evolution of the Ecuadorian Andes publication-title: Geomorphology – volume: 308 start-page: 128 year: 2004 end-page: 150 article-title: Assessing the effect of integrating elevation data into the estimation of monthly precipitation in Great Britain publication-title: Journal of Hydrology – volume: 36 start-page: 201 year: 1981 end-page: 208 article-title: Rainfall seasonality: description, spatial patterns and change through time publication-title: Weather – ident: e_1_2_1_12_1 doi: 10.1002/joc.671 – ident: e_1_2_1_49_1 – volume-title: High‐altitude Tropical Biogeography year: 1986 ident: e_1_2_1_39_1 – volume-title: Guide to Hydrological Practices: Data Acquisition and Processing, Analysis, Forecasting and other Applications year: 1994 ident: e_1_2_1_48_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_23_1 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.10.026 – ident: e_1_2_1_30_1 doi: 10.1002/joc.3370110506 – ident: e_1_2_1_27_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_29_1 doi: 10.1111/j.0033-0124.1980.00300.x – ident: e_1_2_1_16_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_31_1 doi: 10.1016/S0341-8162(01)00148-5 – ident: e_1_2_1_14_1 doi: 10.1016/S0022-1694(00)00144-X – ident: e_1_2_1_25_1 doi: 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03285-4 – volume-title: Hydrology of Mountainous Areas year: 1990 ident: e_1_2_1_21_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_42_1 doi: 10.1002/joc.600 – volume-title: Applied Hydrology. year: 1975 ident: e_1_2_1_22_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_17_1 doi: 10.1016/S0166-1116(08)71099-9 – ident: e_1_2_1_46_1 doi: 10.2307/3673526 – ident: e_1_2_1_3_1 doi: 10.1016/0022-1694(94)02590-8 – ident: e_1_2_1_36_1 doi: 10.1623/hysj.48.1.65.43483 – ident: e_1_2_1_13_1 doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2000.06008.x – ident: e_1_2_1_20_1 doi: 10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00008-1 – ident: e_1_2_1_7_1 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.02.031 – ident: e_1_2_1_19_1 doi: 10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00015-8 – volume: 27 start-page: 643 year: 1998 ident: e_1_2_1_38_1 article-title: Régionalisation de l'influence du El Niño sur les précipitations de l'Equateur publication-title: Bulletin de l'Institut Français d'Études Andines doi: 10.3406/bifea.1998.1318 – ident: e_1_2_1_4_1 – volume-title: Mountain at Risk: Current Issues in Environmental Studies year: 1995 ident: e_1_2_1_34_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_41_1 doi: 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03222-2 – ident: e_1_2_1_47_1 doi: 10.1002/j.1477-8696.1981.tb05400.x – volume: 27 start-page: 449 year: 1998 ident: e_1_2_1_32_1 article-title: El Ecuador al cruce de varias influencias climáticas. 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Title | Space-time rainfall variability in the Paute basin, Ecuadorian Andes |
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